2/17/26
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THE GAPS IN THE CHARTS FOR THE FATS AND FEEDERS BELOW
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The Cattle Markets charged ahead again today. April'26 Live Cattle were 2.17 ½ higher today and settled at 242.80. Today's high was 244.00 and the 1-month high is 244.57 ½. Today's low was 242.10 and the 1-month low is 232.65. Since 1/16 April'26 Live Cattle are 8.82 ½ higher or almost 4%. The March'26 Feeders were almost 5 bucks higher today. The March'26 Feeder Cattle were 4.82 ½ higher today and settled at 370.97 ½. Today's high was 372.25 and the 1-month high is 373.60. Today's low was 368.92 ½ and the 1-month low is 354.55. Since 1/16 March'26 Feeder Cattle are 14.52 ½ higher or more than 4%. The Hogs traded more than a dollar higher today. April'26 Lean Hogs were 1.02 ½ higher today and settled at 92.30. Today's high was 93.00 and the 1-month high is 99.80. Today's low was 91.50 and the 1-month low is 91.12 ½. Since 1/16 April'26 Lean Hogs are 2.90 higher or more than 3%. Having any fun yet? The cash market was very strong on Friday after the close, and today I heard that the cash market traded 250.00 in Iowa, but waiting for confirmation. The Cattle Markets are on fire, and I feel there is still room to run higher. The Gap above in the April'26 Fats starts at 246.25 and the top of the gap is 4.00 higher at 250.25. The April'26 Fats closed a couple bucks+ higher today and traded to within 57 ½ cents of the 1-month high of 244.57 ½ on the highs today. Today's settlement price of 242.80 is 1.77 ½ below the 1-month high, 3.45 below the bottom of the Gap above, 7.45 below the top of the Gap above, and 8.12 ½ below the contract high. The Gap in the March'26 Feeders starts at 370.60 and settled above that today. The top of the Gap is 6.10 higher from the start at 376.70. The March'26 Feeders closed almost 5.00 higher today, and above the bottom of the Gap, which I think is important. Today's settlement in the March'26 Feeders is 2.62 ½ below the 1-month high, 5.72 ½ below the top of the gap, and 7.62 ½ below the contract high. I still think we can see the Gaps above get filled in the Fats and the Feeders, challenge contract highs, trade through them, and then repeatedly establish new contract highs for a while. There will be pullbacks in the Market, if new highs are made, but I am not looking for a correction yet. Unless something unforeseen happens (which is always possible) I think we can see higher prices into June and then reevaluate everything. I still recommend putting on Bullish Option trades, that have limited and defined risk. If you have not been a part of the upside in the Cattle Markets yet, I still feel there is time, and a $50.00 rally in the Feeders from today's settlement price looks possible to me. I am structuring new trades now, so give me a call if you are interested.
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NOW IS THE TIME TO OPEN AN ACCOUNT BEFORE IT IS JULY AGAIN
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BELOW IS A DIRECT LINK TO FILL OUT ACCOUNT PAPERWORK - PLEASE CALL ME IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS.
https://portal2.straitsfinancial.com/Identity/Account/Register?brokerId=978
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Having a Trading or Hedging Account is essential for your business to be successful. Market volatility has increased across all commodities over the last 12 months, and I expect it to continue to increase over the next 12 months as well. Opening an account in the future, will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, you need to be able to manage risk in real time. If you are proactive now, you will have the ability to be reactive when you need to be. You can be Prepared and Patient at the same time. Call me or hit the direct link above.
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Through Walsh Trading I have built the best 5-man team in the business. Give me a call and let me show you how the Pure Hedge Division can help your bottom line.
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The Grain Markets were mixed today, with only the Beans closing higher, and the Corn and Wheat sinking lower. May'26 Soybeans were ¼ of a cent higher today and settled at 1048 ¾. Today's high was 1053 ¾ and the 1-month high is 1156 ¼. Today's low was 1141 and the 1-month low is 1141. Since 1/16 May'26 Soybeans are 80 cents higher or almost 7 ½%. May'26 Corn followed the Wheat lower today. May'26 Corn was 6 ¼ cents lower today and settled at 435 ¾. Today's high was 441 ¼ and the 1-month high is 443 ¾. Today's low was 435 ¼ and the 1-month low is 429 ½. Since 1/16 May'26 Corn is 3 ¾ cents higher or almost 1%. The Wheat Market took a dive today. May'26 Wheat was 6 cents lower today and settled at 542 ½. Today's high was 548 and the 1-month high is 558 ¾. Today's low was 538 ¾ and the 1-month low is 518 ½. Since 1/16 May'26 Wheat is 13 ¾ cents higher or more than 2 ½%. The Soybean Oil still looks great to me, but the Soybeans look overvalued. The NOPA crush report was released this morning, and it was above estimates. That, along with the Soybean Oil kept the Beans positive on the day. I think the Beans can break sometime soon, and I like the July'26 1050 Puts, and they settled at 6 7/8 today. The Brazilian crop will be huge, and the games with China maybe buying more will be over sooner than later. Unless there is a planting issue here this spring, I feel we can see Soybean prices start to decline soon. If you have not hedged your Soybeans yet, I recommend doing now, and an OTC Structured Produce could be perfect right now, as it will allow you to sell above current price levels. If you have any interest in hedging now, or would like more information on the OTC Products, give me a call and I can have something designed specifically for you. The Corn Market is a contract I do not see moving much anytime soon. I like selling the July'26 440 Straddle and collecting 38 ¼ cents. The Wheat Market was lower today after Russian Ports were bombed by Ukraine last night, so that Market can move in any direction at any time. I am staying away from the Wheat but would rather buy it than sell it. The Soybean Oil I feel is the trade to have on, and today the May'26 futures traded to within 0.25 of the contract high of 58.34. I have also increased my Soybean Oil Target Level to 65.00. The Soybean Oil Future Spreads and Option Spreads have been working very well, and I put more of them on today. The August'26/December'26 Future and Option Spreads are ready to take off again. Give me a call if you are interested, and I will show what I am thinking. This year could be one to remember, with the way several of these commodity contracts are lining up. Call me and I will show you how easy it is to open an account and walk you through the process. I look forward to hearing from you. Have a great night.
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I WILL BE AT THE COMMODITY CLASSIC IN SAN ANTONIO 2/24 - 2/28 BOOTH 5101 - STOP BY AND SAY HELLO
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BELOW ARE THE TRADES I STRUCTURED AND SENT OUT TUESDAY NIGHT 1/27/26
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WATCH IF THE NEXT GAP WILL BE FILLED IN THE APRIL'26 LIVE CATTLE @ 250.25 - CURRENTLY THE CONTRACT HIGH IS 250.92 ½
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WATCH IF THE NEXT GAP WILL BE FILLED IN THE MARCH'26 FEEDER CATTLE @ 376.70 - CURRENTLY THE CONTRACT HIGH IS 378.60
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WATCH IF THE NEXT GAP WILL BE FILLED IN THE APRIL'26 FEEDER CATTLE @ 376.50 - CONTRACT HIGH IS 378.45
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THIS WEEKS WALSH GAMMA TRADER FROM YESTERDAY 2/16/26 BELOW.
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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving from your broker, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM Sign Up Now
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If you would like to open an account, please use this direct link https://portal2.straitsfinancial.com/Identity/Account/Register?brokerId=978
.
.
Having a Trading or Hedging Account is essential for your business to be successful. Market volatility has increased across all commodities over the last 12 months, and I expect it to continue to increase over the next 12 months as well. Opening an account in the future, will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, you need to be able to manage risk in real time. If you are proactive now, you will have the ability to be reactive when you need to be. You can be Prepared and Patient at the same time. Call me or hit the direct link above.
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USE THE QR CODE BELOW TO SIGNUP FOR TRADE ALERTS
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If you would like to receive more information on the commodity markets, please use the link to join my email list Sign Up Now
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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canadian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States.
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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it.
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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link - Walsh Gamma Trader
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GOD BLESS AMERICA
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Give me a call if you have any questions.
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Bill Allen
Vice President
Pure Hedge Division
Direct: 312-957-8079
WALSH TRADING INC.
311 South Wacker Drive
Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606
Walsh Trading, Inc. is registered as a Guaranteed Introducing Broker with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and an NFA Member.
Futures and options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Therefore, individuals should carefully consider their financial condition in deciding whether to trade. Option traders should be aware that the exercise of a long option will result in a futures position. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. The information contained on this site is the opinion of the writer or was obtained from sources cited within the commentary. The impact on market prices due to seasonal or market cycles and current news events may already be reflected in market prices. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
All information, communications, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Walsh Trading, Inc. (“WTI”) shall be construed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction. WTI does not distribute research reports, employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71.
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