3 Reasons MTG is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

Since October 2025, MGIC Investment has been in a holding pattern, posting a small return of 2.9% while floating around $27.97.

Is now the time to buy MGIC Investment, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.

Why Is MGIC Investment Not Exciting?

We're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons there are better opportunities than MTG and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Declining Net Premiums Earned Reflect Weakness

When insurers sell policies, they protect themselves from extremely large losses or an outsized accumulation of losses with reinsurance (insurance for insurance companies). Net premiums earned are therefore net of what’s ceded to reinsurers as a risk mitigation and transfer strategy.

MGIC Investment’s net premiums earned has declined by 1.1% annually over the last five years, much worse than the broader insurance industry. This shows that policy underwriting underperformed its other business lines.

2. Projected Revenue Growth Shows Limited Upside

Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect MGIC Investment’s revenue to stall, a slight deceleration versus its 2.5% annualized growth for the past two years. This projection doesn't excite us and indicates its products and services will see some demand headwinds.

3. Recent EPS Growth Below Our Standards

While long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we also track EPS over a shorter period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

MGIC Investment’s EPS grew at a weak 11.6% compounded annual growth rate over the last two years. On the bright side, this performance was higher than its 2.5% annualized revenue growth and tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Final Judgment

MGIC Investment isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. That said, the stock currently trades at 1.1× forward P/B (or $27.97 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We're fairly confident there are better stocks to buy right now. Let us point you toward one of our top digital advertising picks.

Stocks We Would Buy Instead of MGIC Investment

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