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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)
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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Supported by a Hawkish Fed

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.19%.  The dollar Friday rallied to a new 6-1/2 month high on carryover support from Wednesday when the FOMC signaled one more +25 bp rate hike this year and projected that the fed funds rate next year would be +50 bp higher than its June forecast. 

Hawkish comments Friday from several policymakers gave the dollar a boost.  Also, Friday’s better-than-expected U.S. manufacturing PMI news was bullish for the dollar.  The dollar was undercut Friday by stock market gains, which reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. 

The U.S. Sep S&P manufacturing PMI rose +1.0 to 48.9, stronger than expectations of 48.2.

San Francisco Fed President Daly said she is not ready to declare victory in the fight against inflation and said it is unlikely that inflation will reach the Fed's 2% goal in 2024.

Fed Governor Bowman said, "I continue to expect that further rate hikes will likely be needed to return inflation to 2% in a timely way... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 19, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
388,465 (-24,502)
517,207 (-45,741)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
207,424 (-4,952)
105,443 (+6,147)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
18,757 (-7,176)
410,033 (-32,265)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
449,293 (-1,405)
114,429 (+6,478)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
65,602 (-7,296)
60,740 (+1,271)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
33,419 (+1,628)
8,630 (+127)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1.06150 +0.28%
on 09/22/23
1.09453 -2.75%
on 08/30/23
-0.02038 (-1.88%)
since 08/22/23
1.06150 +0.28%
on 09/22/23
1.12754 -5.60%
on 07/18/23
-0.03116 (-2.84%)
since 06/22/23
0.95364 +11.62%
on 09/28/22
1.12754 -5.60%
on 07/18/23
+0.08178 (+8.32%)
since 09/22/22

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.07290
2nd Resistance Point 1.07004
1st Resistance Point 1.06723
Last Price 1.06443
1st Support Level 1.06156
2nd Support Level 1.05870
3rd Support Level 1.05589

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52-Week High 1.12754
Last Price 1.06443
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.06111
Fibonacci 50% 1.04059
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.02007
52-Week Low 0.95364

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