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Swiss Franc Cash (S6Y00)

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Swiss Franc Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Tumbles as the Fed Signals it May be Ready to Cut Interest Rates

The dollar index (DXY00) on Wednesday fell by -0.538 (-0.55%). September euro-fx futures (E6U9) closed up +0.0051 (+0.46%), and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) moved up +0.0043 (+0.38%). September yen futures (J6U9) closed up +0.40 (+0.43%) at a 1-week high, and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) fell -0.39 (-0.36%) to a 1-wek low. The dollar index moved lower Wednesday on a dovish outcome to the FOMC meeting. The FOMC kept the fed funds rate target range at 2.25%/2.50% as expected, but downgraded its assessment of economic activity to "moderate" from "solid" at its May meeting and removed its reference of being "patient" on interest rates, which bolsters the outlook for a rate cut at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting. Indeed, the market after the FOMC meeting boosted its expectations to 100% for a rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on July 30-31. The FOMC also cut its 2019 core PCE estimate to 1.8% from a Mar projection of 2.0% and cut its 2020 median fed funds rate forecast by 50 bp to 2.1% from March's 2.6%. EUR/USD was undercut by Wednesday's weaker-than-expected German May PPI report of -0.1% m/m and +1.9% y/y, weaker than expectations of +0.1% m/m and +2.1% y/y with. The German PPI gain of +1.9% y/y was the smallest year-on-year increase in 13 months and was dovish for ECB policy. USD/JPY fell to a 1-week low Wednesday as the yen found support on stronger-than-expected Japanese trade data. The Japan May trade deficit of -967.1 billion yen was narrower than expectations of -1.20 trillion yen as May exports fell -7.8% y/y, which was stronger than expectations of -8.2% y/y.
  • GBPJPY Triggers Corrective Recovery Nearer Term

    GBPJPY triggers corrective recovery nearer term as we expect more gain in the days ahead.

  • Likely Dovish Statement from FOMC

    U.S. stock index futures advanced sharply yesterday with S&P 500 futures coming to within 1% of record highs.

  • Stocks rally on dovish ECB, Fed in focus

    The European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghis speech was a godsend for the European bond and stock markets on Tuesday. The Eurostoxx 50 and the...

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