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Lean Hogs Aug '19 (HEQ19)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Mostly Higher at Midday

Lean Hog futures are mostly 57.5 cents to $1.05 higher at midday, with nearby Aug down 95 cents. China's hog herd is officially 15% smaller, although other Chinese data suggests a much larger decline from ASF. The CME Lean Hog Index was UNCH from the previous day on July 12 @ $70.73. The USDA pork carcass cutout value was up $1.86 in the Tuesday AM report at $74.76. The butt was the only primal reported lower. The national average base hog price was down $1.10 at $67.51. Estimated FI hog slaughter for Monday was 410,000 head. That was down 69,000 head from last week due to plant down time and 19,000 head below the same week last year. AUG 19 Hogs are at $79.150, down $0.950, OCT 19 Hogs are at $74.475, up $0.575 DEC 19 Hogs are at $72.800, up $1.000 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$2,420/2,200
First Notice Date
08/14/19 (29 days)
Expiration Date
08/14/19 (29 days)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Aug '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 9, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
91,458 (-2,327)
136,172 (-2,306)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
107,035 (+1,033)
58,925 (+2,071)
Producers - Long / Short
34,131 (+91)
112,671 (-2,865)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
40,643 (-2,149)
6,817 (+828)
Managed Money - Long / Short
65,018 (+2,759)
39,273 (+1,179)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
42,017 (-1,726)
19,652 (+892)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
73.950 +6.90%
on 06/24/19
83.850 -5.72%
on 06/20/19
-1.575 (-1.95%)
since 06/14/19
3-Month
73.950 +6.90%
on 06/24/19
102.800 -23.10%
on 04/18/19
-22.950 (-22.50%)
since 04/16/19
52-Week
70.100 +12.77%
on 07/20/18
102.975 -23.23%
on 03/22/19
+7.800 (+10.95%)
since 07/16/18

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Lean Hog futures are mostly 57.5 cents to $1.05 higher at midday, with nearby Aug down 95 cents. China's hog herd is officially 15% smaller, although other Chinese data suggests a much larger decline from...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Soft. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 81.750
1st Resistance Point 80.400
Last Price 79.050s
1st Support Level 78.225
2nd Support Level 77.400

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52-Week High 102.975
Fibonacci 61.8% 90.417
Fibonacci 50% 86.537
Fibonacci 38.2% 82.658
Last Price 79.050s
52-Week Low 70.100

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InsideFutures Commentary

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