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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rises with Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) this morning is up by +0.10% on support from higher T-note yields.  Today’s stock weakness is also boosting some liquidity demand for the dollar.  The dollar fell back from its best levels after US Mar wholesale trade sales unexpectedly declined.

US Mar wholesale trade sales unexpectedly fell -1.3% m/m, weaker than expectations of a +0.8% m/m increase.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 10% for the June 11-12 FOMC meeting and 32% for the following meeting on July 30-31.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) today is down by -0.04%.  The euro is slightly lower today and is being pressured by a stronger dollar.  Also, expectations for the ECB to begin cutting interest rates next month are bearish for the euro.  Losses in the euro are limited by the better-than-expected German industrial production report. 

German Mar industrial production fell -0.4% m/m, a smaller decline than expectations of -0.7% m/m.

ECB Governing Cou... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 30, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
68,798 (+8,095)
244,920 (+5,073)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
208,823 (-13,522)
40,435 (-1,991)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
5,698 (+3,452)
169,663 (+4,707)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
127,017 (-7,341)
60,164 (+2,024)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
134,379 (-6,047)
28,570 (-5,767)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
1,575 (+813)
18,006 (-1,578)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
151.572 +2.66%
on 04/09/24
160.173 -2.85%
on 04/29/24
+3.784 (+2.49%)
since 04/08/24
3-Month
146.488 +6.22%
on 03/08/24
160.173 -2.85%
on 04/29/24
+6.269 (+4.20%)
since 02/08/24
52-Week
133.748 +16.34%
on 05/11/23
160.173 -2.85%
on 04/29/24
+20.467 (+15.15%)
since 05/08/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 155.885
2nd Resistance Point 155.317
1st Resistance Point 155.004
Last Price 155.622
1st Support Level 154.123
2nd Support Level 153.555
3rd Support Level 153.242

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52-Week High 160.173
Last Price 155.626
Fibonacci 61.8% 150.079
Fibonacci 50% 146.961
Fibonacci 38.2% 143.842
52-Week Low 133.748

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