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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Weak US Job News Undercuts the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00) on Thursday fell by -0.49%.  The dollar retreated on Thursday after a report from Challenger showed US job cuts in October surged by 175% y/y, the most in 22 years, bolstering the outlook for the Fed to keep cutting interest rates.  Also, the dollar is still under pressure from the ongoing US government shutdown.  The longer the shutdown is maintained, the more likely the US economy will suffer and the more likely the Fed will have to cut interest rates. 

Losses in the dollar were limited on Thursday after stocks fell, which boosted liquidity demand for the dollar.  Also, hawkish comments from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack were supportive of the dollar when they said they favored no additional Fed rate cuts.

US Oct Challenger job cuts surged +175.3% y/y to 153,074, the largest increase in 7 months and the most for an October in 22 years.  Year-to-date job cuts have exceeded 1 million, the most sinc... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 23, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
175,491 (+11,996)
92,252 (-2,905)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
96,900 (-3,362)
176,400 (+14,727)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
136,088 (+5,125)
6,833 (-2,000)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
32,464 (+439)
110,298 (+8,173)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
95,108 (+4,676)
42,138 (+2,496)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
1,327 (-1,557)
101,979 (+3,202)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
149.381 +2.51%
on 10/17/25
154.483 -0.88%
on 11/04/25
+2.779 (+1.85%)
since 10/06/25
3-Month
145.487 +5.25%
on 09/17/25
154.483 -0.88%
on 11/04/25
+5.767 (+3.91%)
since 08/06/25
52-Week
139.890 +9.46%
on 04/22/25
158.872 -3.61%
on 01/10/25
-1.507 (-0.97%)
since 11/06/24

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 156.048
2nd Resistance Point 155.203
1st Resistance Point 154.657
Last Price 153.143
1st Support Level 153.266
2nd Support Level 152.421
3rd Support Level 151.875

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52-Week High 158.872
Last Price 153.143
Fibonacci 61.8% 151.621
Fibonacci 50% 149.381
Fibonacci 38.2% 147.141
52-Week Low 139.890

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