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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Yen Weakness and Higher T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday rose by +0.11%.  The dollar on Friday posted moderate gains in weakness in the yen after the BOJ refrained from tightening monetary policy.  Also, the stock weakness on Friday boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar.  In addition, higher T-note yields Friday have strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials.  The dollar fell back from its best levels Friday on dovish comments from Fed Governor Waller, who said, "Inflation is running softer than I thought."

Fed Governor Waller said he supported the Fed's 50 bp rate cut this week as "inflation is running softer than I thought," and he estimates the core PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is rising at an annualized pace of +1.8% over the past three months, below the Fed's 2% target.

The markets are discounting the chances at 100% for a -25 bp rate cut at the November 6-7 FOMC meeting and a 51% chance for a -50 bp rate cut at that meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUS... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 17, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
128,754 (-161,663)
56,915 (-166,783)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
40,492 (-2,632)
97,332 (-1,562)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
89,712 (-118,888)
7,567 (-125,063)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
26,258 (-3,242)
56,250 (-1,169)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
45,846 (-5,383)
30,066 (-6,591)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
3,289 (+1,203)
56,223 (+2,463)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
139.581 +3.09%
on 09/16/24
147.208 -2.25%
on 09/03/24
-1.369 (-0.94%)
since 08/20/24
3-Month
139.581 +3.09%
on 09/16/24
161.948 -11.14%
on 07/03/24
-15.030 (-9.46%)
since 06/20/24
52-Week
139.581 +3.09%
on 09/16/24
161.948 -11.14%
on 07/03/24
-4.444 (-3.00%)
since 09/20/23

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^EURCAD : 1.51493 (+0.10%)
DXY Coming Back To 101.60-102 Resistance

It’s going to be an important week, with the focus on the U.S. CPI inflation data, which could provide more clues on whether the Fed will go for 25 or even 50 basis point cut.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 147.761
2nd Resistance Point 146.126
1st Resistance Point 145.012
Last Price 143.899
1st Support Level 142.263
2nd Support Level 140.628
3rd Support Level 139.514

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52-Week High 161.948
Fibonacci 61.8% 153.404
Fibonacci 50% 150.764
Fibonacci 38.2% 148.125
Last Price 143.899
52-Week Low 139.581

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