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Gold May '15 (GCK15)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls Slightly on Lower Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday fell by -0.06%.  The dollar was under pressure Monday from lower T-note yields, which weakened the dollar’s interest rate differentials.   The dollar was also undercut by uncertainty ahead of this week’s US inflation reports. The dollar recovered from its worst levels after the NY Fed’s Apr 1-year inflation expectations rose to a 5-month high, a hawkish factor for Fed policy.

Monday's hawkish comments from Fed Vice Chair Jefferson supported the dollar when he said, “In light of the attenuation in progress, in terms of getting inflation down to our target, it is appropriate that we maintain the policy rate in restrictive territory."

The New York Fed Apr 1-year inflation expectations rose 0.26 percentage points to a 5-month high of 3.26% from 3.00% in March.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 10% for the June 11-12 FOMC meeting and 30% for the following meeting on July 30-31.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) on... Read more

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