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Gold Apr '17 (GCJ17)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Precious Metals Close Higher on Weak Dollar and Continued Safe-Haven Demand

Apr Comex gold (GCJ19) on Monday closed +9.4 (+0.72%) and May silver (SIK19) closed up +0.138 (+0.90%). Metals prices rallied on Monday due to mild weakness in the dollar index and dovish world central bank policies with the 10-year T-note yield on Monday falling by -3 bp to a new 15-month low of 2.41%. There was also continued safe-haven demand for precious metals prices after the S&P 500 index on Monday extended last Friday's sharp sell-off, posting a new 1-1/2 week low and closing the day little changed. Precious metals prices have support as Fed officials in a series of speaking engagements this week are expected to voice support for the Fed's dovish turn in policy. There is continued safe-haven demand for precious metals on the Brexit situation as Prime Minister May is barely holding on to power and as key Brexit votes are expected to be held this week as the new April 12 Brexit deadline approaches. Industrial metals prices were undercut by last Friday's weak global economic data where the March Markit Eurozone manufacturing PMI fell by -1.7 to a 6-year low of 47.6 and the March Markit-BME German manufacturing PMI fell by -2.9 points to a 6-3/4 year low of 44.7. On the more positive side, Monday's March German IFO index rose by +0.9 to 99.6 from Feb's revised 98.7 (prelim 98.5), which was stronger than expectations of unchanged at 98.5. Also, fund buying of metals has picked up with long silver positions in ETFs last Friday matching the recent 2-1/4 month high and with long gold positions in ETFs rising to a 3-1/2 week high last Friday.
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