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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybean Market News and Commentary

Soybean futures ended Tuesday with most contracts 5-6 cents off their lows, but still down 6 to 7 cents on the day. Meal futures were down $1.10/ton in the nearby contract, with soy oil 2 points lower. This morning’s USDA Export Inspections report saw exports in the week of February 14 at 1.031 MMT. That was down 3.37% from the week prior but 7.20% above the same time last year. This is the first week this MY that was larger than the same week last year, with shipments still lagging by 490 mbu. Exports to China were reported at 404,420 MT. Brazil’s soybean harvest was estimated at 36% complete vs. the 19% average. Brazil’s soybean crop is seen at 114.6 MMT according to a Reuters poll, below the USDA’s 117 MMT.Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.00 3/4, down 6 3/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.14 1/2, down 7 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.28, down 7 cents,Sep 19 Soybeans closed at $9.37 1/4, down 6 1/4 cents,Mar 19 Soybean Meal closed at $305.40, down $1.10,Mar 19 Soybean Oil closed at $29.74, down $0.21 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settle 1:15pm) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,925/1,750
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
374,100 (-11,453)
344,202 (+8,142)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
129,565 (+8,323)
120,993 (-12,086)
Producers - Long / Short
247,842 (-6,728)
314,422 (+10,731)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
104,095 (-931)
7,617 (+1,205)
Managed Money - Long / Short
75,594 (+9,499)
70,933 (-10,456)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
53,971 (-1,176)
50,060 (-1,630)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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