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Scrap #1 HMS Prepared Idx (FSPAUSY41.CM)

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Scrap #1 HMS Prepared Idx Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Persistent US Price Pressures and Yen Weakness

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.37%.  The dollar on Friday recovered from a 2-week low and rose moderately.  The dollar strengthened Friday as stronger-than-expected US economic reports on Mar personal spending and Mar core PCE deflator were hawkish for Fed policy and may further delay rate cuts from the Fed.  Also, weakness in the yen is supportive of the dollar after the yen dropped to a 34-year low against the dollar on Friday.  Friday’s stock rally limited gains in the dollar as it reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. 

US Mar personal spending rose +0.8% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.6% m/m.  Mar personal income rose +0.5% m/m, right on expectations.

The US Mar PCE core deflator, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, rose +2.8% y/y, unchanged from Feb and stronger than expectations of +2.7% y/y.

The University of Michigan US Apr consumer sentiment index was revised downward by -0.7 to 77.2, weaker than expectations of no change at 77.9.... Read more

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
7.3801 +18.63%
on 08/10/22
9.0052 -2.78%
on 08/22/22
+0.9586 (+12.30%)
since 08/05/22
3-Month
7.3801 +18.63%
on 08/10/22
10.7750 -18.75%
on 06/28/22
-2.8019 (-24.24%)
since 06/06/22
52-Week
7.3801 +18.63%
on 08/10/22
14.0048 -37.49%
on 03/23/22
-1.1829 (-11.90%)
since 09/03/21

Benchmark National Price Indexes

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 8.7550
2nd Resistance Point 8.7550
1st Resistance Point 8.7550
Last Price 8.7550
1st Support Level 8.7550
2nd Support Level 8.7550
3rd Support Level 8.7550

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52-Week High 14.0048
Fibonacci 61.8% 11.4742
Fibonacci 50% 10.6924
Fibonacci 38.2% 9.9107
Last Price 8.7550
52-Week Low 7.3801

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