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Scrap #1 HMS Prepared Idx (FSPAUSY41.CM)
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Scrap #1 HMS Prepared Idx Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Recovers Early Losses as Stocks Fade

The dollar index (DXY00) on Wednesday rose by +0.12% and posted a 2-week high. On Wednesday, the dollar recovered from early losses and moved higher after stocks gave up an early advance and turned lower, which boosted liquidity demand for the dollar.  The dollar on Wednesday initially moved lower as Fed-friendly U.S. economic reports on Nov ADP employment and Q3 nonfarm productivity undercut the dollar.

Wednesday’s U.S. economic news was dovish for Fed policy and bearish for the dollar.  The Nov ADP employment change rose +103,000, weaker than expectations of +130,000.  Also, Q3 nonfarm productivity was revised upward to 5.2% from 4.7%, better than expectations of 4.9% and the most in three years.  In addition, Q3 unit labor costs were revised downward to -1.2% from the previously reported -0.8%, a bigger decline than expectations of -0.9%.

The markets are discounting a 1% chance for a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on Dec 12-13 FOMC and a 0% chance for that... Read more

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
7.3801 +18.63%
on 08/10/22
9.0052 -2.78%
on 08/22/22
+0.9586 (+12.30%)
since 08/05/22
7.3801 +18.63%
on 08/10/22
10.7750 -18.75%
on 06/28/22
-2.8019 (-24.24%)
since 06/06/22
7.3801 +18.63%
on 08/10/22
14.0048 -37.49%
on 03/23/22
-1.1829 (-11.90%)
since 09/03/21

Benchmark National Price Indexes

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 8.7550
2nd Resistance Point 8.7550
1st Resistance Point 8.7550
Last Price 8.7550
1st Support Level 8.7550
2nd Support Level 8.7550
3rd Support Level 8.7550

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52-Week High 14.0048
Fibonacci 61.8% 11.4742
Fibonacci 50% 10.6924
Fibonacci 38.2% 9.9107
Last Price 8.7550
52-Week Low 7.3801

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