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Scrap 6063 Aluminum Extru. Idx (ALPAUSY15.CM)

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Scrap 6063 Aluminum Extru. Idx Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Slightly Lower as T-note Yields Fall After Dovish US Deflator

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday fell slightly by -0.05% in lackluster trading.  The dollar was undercut by Friday's -5.1 bp decline in the 10-year T-note yield to 4.190%, which followed the dovish US PCE deflator report, the Fed's preferred inflation measure.

Friday's PCE deflator report was close to expectations and supported the case for a FOMC rate cut in September.  On a month-on-month basis, the June PCE deflator report of +0.1% m/m (headline) and +0.2% (core) was exactly in line with market expectations.  On a year-on-year basis, the June PCE deflator of +2.5% y/y was in line with market expectations, fell from +2.6% in May, and matched the 3-1/4 year low of +2.5% posted earlier this year.  The June core PCE deflator of +2.6% y/y was slightly stronger than expectations of +2.5% and was unchanged from May's 3-1/4 year low of +2.6%.

The fact that both the headline and core PCE deflators were at 3-1/4 year lows in June was a dovish factor for Fed policy.  Also, the... Read more

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.6936 +0.04%
on 08/23/22
0.7046 -1.52%
on 08/11/22
-0.0104 (-1.48%)
since 08/05/22
3-Month
0.6751 +2.78%
on 07/15/22
0.7738 -10.33%
on 06/17/22
-0.0561 (-7.48%)
since 06/06/22
52-Week
0.4538 +52.91%
on 11/24/21
0.8535 -18.70%
on 03/24/22
+0.2239 (+47.64%)
since 09/03/21

Benchmark National Price Indexes

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.6939
2nd Resistance Point 0.6939
1st Resistance Point 0.6939
Last Price 0.6939
1st Support Level 0.6939
2nd Support Level 0.6939
3rd Support Level 0.6939

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52-Week High 0.8535
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7008
Last Price 0.6939
Fibonacci 50% 0.6537
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6065
52-Week Low 0.4538

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