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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Ends Higher Despite Dovish US CPI Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Wednesday rose by +0.20 (+0.20%), recovering from early losses tied to the dovish US CPI report and reduced expectations for a Fed rate hike.  The dollar rebounded higher as T-note prices closed just mildly higher, weighed down by the fact that Wednesday's 10-year T-note auction produced the highest yield since the 2007 financial crisis.  Investors have demanded higher Treasury yields, partially due to Fed Chair Warsh's reduced guidance and uncertainty about the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve.

Wednesday's July US CPI report was exactly in line with market expectations.  On a year-on-year basis, the July CPI eased to +3.4% y/y from June's +3.5%, and the core CPI eased to +2.5% from June's +2.6%.  On a month-on-month basis, the July CPI rose +0.1% m/m, and the core CPI rose +0.2% m/m.

The July core CPI report of +2.5% y/y matched the 5.5-year low posted earlier this year but remained above the Fed's 2% inflation target.  The nominal CPI remain... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 4, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
171,822 (+63,667)
222,390 (-43,790)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
192,701 (-71,982)
147,228 (+45,957)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
81,356 (+65,454)
112,779 (-42,460)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
115,237 (-38,463)
72,815 (+2,172)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
136,583 (-42,159)
75,758 (-994)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
1,363 (-334)
78,282 (+36,262)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
155.230 +2.59%
on 08/03/26
163.988 -2.89%
on 07/23/26
-3.212 (-1.98%)
since 07/13/26
3-Month
155.230 +2.59%
on 08/03/26
163.988 -2.89%
on 07/23/26
+1.364 (+0.86%)
since 05/13/26
52-Week
145.487 +9.46%
on 09/17/25
163.988 -2.89%
on 07/23/26
+11.863 (+8.05%)
since 08/13/25

Most Recent Stories

More News
NASDAQ100 and AUDJPY Signal Strong Risk-On Momentum

NASDAQ100 has resumed its bullish trend after completing an ABC correction, while AUDJPY is also pointing higher. As long as JPY crosses remain strong, the broader risk-on environment is likely to stay...

USDJPY Plunges After BoJ Intervention Signals, Major Top May Be in Place, But Corrective Recovery May Follow

USDJPY has reversed aggressively from the 164 area, breaking key technical supports and signaling that a larger trend change may be underway. While a short-term recovery is possible, the broader structure...

AUDUSD Recovery Faces Resistance as Larger Correction May Resume

AUDUSD is recovering after the recent decline toward 0.6920, but the current bounce may only represent a temporary corrective move. Watch the 0.7120 resistance area, where sellers could step back in and...

USDCHF Nearing Resistance as Fifth Wave May Trigger a New Corrective Pause

USDCHF continues its strong recovery after breaking out of the fourth-wave consolidation, with the fifth wave now likely underway. Price is approaching key resistance near 0.8290, where a corrective pullback...

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Weekly market outlook covering the Fed decision, earnings season, and key Elliott Wave setups across FX, stocks, commodities, and crypto. We review the latest price action, important support/resistance...

Canadian Dollar Futures: The Loonie Fights to Hold a Critical Support Level Near 0.71

The Canadian dollar futures contract, widely known as the loonie, remains locked in a broader consolidation range between roughly 0.71 and 0.74 as traders weigh a fresh round of North American trade uncertainty...

EURGBP Extends Lower Within Final Wave E as Bearish Momentum Builds

EURGBP is extending lower as anticipated after completing a larger corrective structure, with the pair now trading within the final wave E of a long-term triangle pattern. The current decline could continue...

Euro Futures (6E): Consolidation Range Faces a Key Test as Fed and ECB Policies Diverge

The Euro (6E) futures market remains locked in a sideways consolidation range that has held since June 2025, bounded roughly between 1.187 and 1.15, as traders weigh a diverging policy path between the...

Waiting For A Trigger, Ready To Slide

Make the most of it.

NZDJPY Eyes Bullish Wave (5) as Corrective Pullback Looks Completed

NZDJPY may be completing a corrective wave (4) pullback within a larger bullish impulse. A recovery in wave (5) could target the 96–97 area initially, with potential for an extension toward 99.00.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 160.725
2nd Resistance Point 160.133
1st Resistance Point 159.779
Last Price 159.302
1st Support Level 158.833
2nd Support Level 158.241
3rd Support Level 157.887

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52-Week High 163.988
Last Price 159.302
Fibonacci 61.8% 156.921
Fibonacci 50% 154.738
Fibonacci 38.2% 152.554
52-Week Low 145.487

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