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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains as Strong Jobs Report Reduces Fed Rate Cut Chances

The dollar index (DXY00) recovered from a 1.5-week low on Wednesday and finished up by +0.08%.  The dollar moved higher after Wednesday's better-than-expected US Jan payroll report pushed T-note yields higher and dampened speculation of additional Fed interest rate cuts.  The chance of a Fed rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting fell to 6% from 23% before the release of Wednesday's monthly payroll report.  Hawkish comments on Wednesday from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid also supported the dollar when he said the Fed should hold rates at a "somewhat restrictive" level.

US MBA mortgage applications fell -0.3% in the week ended February 6, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down -2.4% and the refinancing mortgage sub-index up +1.2%.  The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was unchanged from the prior week at 6.21%.

US Jan nonfarm payrolls rose +130,000, stronger than expectations of +65,000 and the most in 13 months.  The Jan unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 3, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
483,911 (-15,821)
702,452 (+21,116)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
302,301 (+11,965)
138,940 (-19,262)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
56,077 (-1,516)
570,104 (+21,987)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
539,447 (-11,111)
135,008 (-12,020)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
123,767 (+8,344)
81,712 (-7,350)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
27,710 (-466)
15,357 (-1,656)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.15785 +2.60%
on 01/19/26
1.20806 -1.67%
on 01/27/26
+0.02129 (+1.82%)
since 01/12/26
3-Month
1.14912 +3.37%
on 11/21/25
1.20806 -1.67%
on 01/27/26
+0.02857 (+2.46%)
since 11/12/25
52-Week
1.03600 +14.66%
on 02/28/25
1.20806 -1.67%
on 01/27/26
+0.14959 (+14.41%)
since 02/12/25

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^NZDUSD : 0.60566 (+0.13%)
^GBPUSD : 1.36321 (+0.03%)
^AUDUSD : 0.71353 (+0.11%)
^USDCAD : 1.35691 (-0.05%)
^USDJPY : 152.436 (-0.54%)
^EURUSD : 1.18775 (+0.05%)
^USDCHF : 0.77046 (-0.16%)
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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.20151
2nd Resistance Point 1.19711
1st Resistance Point 1.19214
Last Price 1.18773
1st Support Level 1.18277
2nd Support Level 1.17837
3rd Support Level 1.17340

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52-Week High 1.20806
Last Price 1.18773
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.14233
Fibonacci 50% 1.12203
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.10173
52-Week Low 1.03600

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