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Natural Gas Mini Jan '14 (QGF14)

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Natural Gas Mini Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Slip on the Outlook for Cooler US Temperatures

July Nymex natural gas (NGN26) on Tuesday fell -0.007 (-0.22%).

Nat-gas prices settled slightly lower on Tuesday but remained above Monday’s 1.5-week low.   Forecasts of cooler US weather, which will reduce demand for air conditioning, are weighing on nat-gas prices.  Forecaster Vaisala said cooler-than-normal temperatures are forecast across the Midwest and eastern US for June 14-18.

Projections for higher US nat-gas production are also negative for prices.  On Tuesday, the EIA raised its forecast for 2026 US dry nat-gas production to 111.0 bcf/day from a May estimate of 110.6 bcf/day.  US nat-gas production is currently near a record high, with active US nat-gas rigs posting a 2.5-year high in late February.

US (lower-48) dry gas production on Tuesday was 110.1 bcf/day (+2.2% y/y), according to BNEF. Lower-48 state gas demand on Tuesday was 73.2 bcf/day (+5.8% y/y), according to BNEF.  Estimated LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals on Tuesday were 17.9 bcf/da... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
E-Mini Natural Gas
Contract Size
2,500 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.005 per MMBtu ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$2,500
Margin/Maintenance
$869/790
First Notice Date
12/26/13
Expiration Date
12/26/13 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Mini Jan '14
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jan Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3.830 +15.80%
on 11/27/13
4.540 -2.31%
on 12/24/13
+0.570 (+14.75%)
since 11/26/13
3-Month
3.470 +27.81%
on 11/05/13
4.540 -2.31%
on 12/24/13
+0.580 (+15.05%)
since 09/26/13
52-Week
3.470 +27.81%
on 11/05/13
4.790 -7.41%
on 05/01/13
+0.340 (+8.30%)
since 12/26/12

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 4.535
1st Resistance Point 4.485
Last Price 4.435s
1st Support Level 4.360
2nd Support Level 4.285
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 4.790
Last Price 4.435s
Fibonacci 61.8% 4.286
Fibonacci 50% 4.130
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.974
52-Week Low 3.470

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