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Coffee Mar '16 (KCH16)

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Coffee Futures Market News and Commentary

Confirmation of El Niño Weather Pattern Lifts Coffee Prices

July arabica coffee (KCN26) on Wednesday closed up +4.00 (+1.64%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN26) closed up +61 (+1.85%). 

Coffee prices settled sharply higher on Wednesday as short covering emerged after the Japan Meteorological Agency confirmed an El Niño weather pattern had formed across the equatorial Pacific.  This sets the stage for months of floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations later this year that could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America. 

On Tuesday, arabica coffee fell to a 19-month nearest-futures low, and robusta slid to a 2-month low, amid an outlook for a bumper coffee crop this year in Brazil.

Last Wednesday, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) forecast a record 2026/27 Brazil coffee crop of 71.9 million bags, up +14% y/y.  Also, Rabobank raised its 2026/27 global arabica coffee surplus estimate to 9.5 million bags from 7.0 million bags previously.

Coffee prices have ratcheted lower over the past six wee... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Coffee C Arabica
Contract Size
37,500 pounds (approximately 283.50 bags of 60Kgs)
Tick Size
0.05 cents per pound ($18.75 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:15a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 11:30a.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$375
Margin/Maintenance
$6,826/6,206
First Notice Date
02/19/16
Expiration Date
03/18/16 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Coffee Mar '16
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 2, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
80,997 (+6,328)
94,502 (+3,067)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
52,349 (-1,225)
38,961 (+2,018)
Producers - Long / Short
51,427 (+6,736)
67,692 (+1,587)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
25,833 (-732)
23,073 (+1,156)
Managed Money - Long / Short
42,530 (-1,560)
22,906 (+1,789)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
9,819 (+335)
16,055 (+229)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
111.35 +20.21%
on 03/02/16
134.40 -0.41%
on 03/17/16
+19.70 (+17.26%)
since 02/18/16
3-Month
111.05 +20.53%
on 01/20/16
134.40 -0.41%
on 03/17/16
+14.85 (+12.48%)
since 12/18/15
52-Week
111.05 +20.53%
on 01/20/16
160.60 -16.66%
on 03/19/15
-20.10 (-13.06%)
since 03/18/15

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Most Recent Stories

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Cotton Closes Mixed on Wednesday

Cotton futures closed the Wednesday session on a mixed note, with contracts down 16 points to 28 points higher. Crude oil was up $3.65to $91.85/barrel. The US dollar index was up $0.130 at $100.045. The...

CTV26 : 73.28s (+0.07%)
CTN26 : 71.10s (-0.22%)
CTZ26 : 75.30s (unch)
Sugar Prices Fall as the Brazilian Real Weakens

July NY world sugar #11 (SBN26 ) on Wednesday closed down -0.16 (-1.14%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ26 ) closed down -1.10 (-0.25%). Sugar prices settled lower on Wednesday, with NY sugar matching...

CLN26 : 92.21 (+2.42%)
SBV26 : 14.39s (-0.90%)
^USDBRL : 5.19360 (-0.02%)
SWQ26 : 443.90s (-0.25%)
Cocoa Prices Retreat as West African Weather Fears Ease

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) on Wednesday closed down -74 (-1.93%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) closed down -44 (-1.50%). Cocoa prices settled lower on Wednesday amid forecasts of dry conditions...

CCU26 : 3,842s (-1.74%)
CAH27 : 3,003s (-1.93%)
Confirmation of El Niño Weather Pattern Lifts Coffee Prices

July arabica coffee (KCN26 ) on Wednesday closed up +4.00 (+1.64%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN26 ) closed up +61 (+1.85%). Coffee prices settled sharply higher on Wednesday as short covering emerged...

RMU26 : 3,297s (+2.07%)
KCU26 : 244.60s (+1.54%)
Cotton Back to Steady at Midday

Cotton futures are trading with 2 to 19 point losses across most contracts on Wednesday. Crude oil is up $2.76 to $90.96/barrel. The US dollar index is down $0.009 at $99.880. The Cotlook A Index was...

CTV26 : 73.28s (+0.07%)
CTN26 : 71.10s (-0.22%)
CTZ26 : 75.30s (unch)
Sugar Prices Undercut by Brazilian Real Weakness

July NY world sugar #11 (SBN26 ) today is down -0.06 (-0.43%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ26 ) is up +0.20 (+0.04%). Sugar prices are mixed today, with NY sugar matching a 6-week low. Weakness...

CLN26 : 92.21 (+2.42%)
SBV26 : 14.39s (-0.90%)
^USDBRL : 5.19360 (-0.02%)
SWQ26 : 443.90s (-0.25%)
Smart Money vs. Dumb Money? (CFTC's Commitments of Traders Reports May Reveal Keys to Next Moves)

Read about Jim's "Anti-Herd Mentality" POV regarding coffee and wheat

ZWN26 : 587-4s (+0.38%)
WEAT : 22.54 (+0.71%)
KCN26 : 248.40s (+1.64%)
Forecasts for Beneficial West African Weather Weigh on Cocoa Prices

July ICE NY cocoa (CCN26 ) today is down -77 (-2.01%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN26 ) is down -49 (-1.67%). Cocoa prices are under pressure today amid forecasts of dry conditions moving into West...

CCU26 : 3,842s (-1.74%)
CAH27 : 3,003s (-1.93%)
Coffee Prices Push Higher on Confirmation of El Niño

July arabica coffee (KCN26 ) today is up +4.55 (+1.86%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN26 ) is up +60 (+1.82%). Coffee prices are sharply higher today as short covering emerged after the Japan Meteorological...

RMU26 : 3,297s (+2.07%)
KCU26 : 244.60s (+1.54%)
Sugar Prices Keep Falling on Surplus Fears, Changing Consumer Preferences

October sugar futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

SBV26 : 14.39s (-0.90%)
SBV26 : 14.39s (-0.90%)

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 135.55
1st Resistance Point 134.70
Last Price 133.85s
1st Support Level 132.55
2nd Support Level 131.25
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 160.60
Fibonacci 61.8% 141.67
Fibonacci 50% 135.83
Last Price 133.85s
Fibonacci 38.2% 129.98
52-Week Low 111.05

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