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Gold Oct '12 (GCV12)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rises with Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) this morning is up by +0.10% on support from higher T-note yields.  Today’s stock weakness is also boosting some liquidity demand for the dollar.  The dollar fell back from its best levels after US Mar wholesale trade sales unexpectedly declined.

US Mar wholesale trade sales unexpectedly fell -1.3% m/m, weaker than expectations of a +0.8% m/m increase.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 10% for the June 11-12 FOMC meeting and 32% for the following meeting on July 30-31.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) today is down by -0.04%.  The euro is slightly lower today and is being pressured by a stronger dollar.  Also, expectations for the ECB to begin cutting interest rates next month are bearish for the euro.  Losses in the euro are limited by the better-than-expected German industrial production report. 

German Mar industrial production fell -0.4% m/m, a smaller decline than expectations of -0.7% m/m.

ECB Governing Cou... Read more

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