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U.S. Dollar/Chinese Yuan (^USDCNY)

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U.S. Dollar/Chinese Yuan Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Pressured After FOMC Cuts Interest Rates by 50 bp

The dollar index (DXY00) Wednesday tumbled to a 14-month low and finished down by -0.12%.  The dollar sank Wednesday after the FOMC cut the fed funds rate by 50 bp and projected another 50 bp of rate cuts by the end of the year.  The dollar was also undercut after the Fed cut its 2024 US GDP forecast and cut its 2024 core PCE price forecast, dovish factors for Fed policy.  The dollar recovered from its worst levels after Fed Chair Powell said the Fed is in no rush to ease monetary policy.  

The FOMC voted 11-1 to cut the fed funds target range by 50 bp to 4.75%-5.00% and said the committee is "strongly committed to supporting maximum employment" and returning inflation to its 2% goal.

The FOMC cut its 2024 US GDP forecast to 2.0% from 2.1% in June and cut its 2024 core PCE estimate to 2.6% from 2.8% in June.  The FOMC also raised its 2024 unemployment forecast to 4.4% from 4.0% in June.

The FOMC cut its fed funds forecast for the end of 2024 to 4.375% from 5.125% i... Read more

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
7.0794 +0.04%
on 09/18/24
7.1650 -1.16%
on 08/19/24
-0.0827 (-1.15%)
since 08/16/24
3-Month
7.0794 +0.04%
on 09/18/24
7.2774 -2.68%
on 07/24/24
-0.1723 (-2.38%)
since 06/18/24
52-Week
7.0455 +0.52%
on 12/29/23
7.3233 -3.29%
on 10/20/23
-0.2096 (-2.87%)
since 09/18/23

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EURCAD Two-Year Bullish Sequence extends from the Blue Box

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^EURCAD : 1.51254 (-0.01%)
DXY Coming Back To 101.60-102 Resistance

It’s going to be an important week, with the focus on the U.S. CPI inflation data, which could provide more clues on whether the Fed will go for 25 or even 50 basis point cut.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 7.0941
2nd Resistance Point 7.0940
1st Resistance Point 7.0937
Last Price 7.0822
1st Support Level 7.0933
2nd Support Level 7.0932
3rd Support Level 7.0929

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52-Week High 7.3233
Fibonacci 61.8% 7.2172
Fibonacci 50% 7.1844
Fibonacci 38.2% 7.1516
Last Price 7.0822
52-Week Low 7.0455

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