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Sun, Dec 7th, 2025

Don Dawson

Sun, Dec 7th, 2025

Don Dawson

Don Dawson

Don is an independent commodity futures trader with 36-plus years of experience. He has authored hundreds of articles on commodity markets and trading education. He had previously instructed futures classes for an international trading school for 15 years, for which he received multiple awards. In addition, Don is an author and Futures Market Analyst for Barchart, where he discusses the futures markets as a regular guest on various domestic and international podcasts.

Most Recent Stories

Copper Bull Case 2026: Fundamentals, Trend, Correlation, and a Proven Nov-Feb Seasonal Play

Don’t just retweet and forget—pull up the seasonal copper chart, check the correlation years, run the numbers. If you’ve never traded copper before, this is the setup that turns heads. Do your homework....

QLH26 : 5.4620s (+1.65%)
HGH26 : 5.4620s (+1.65%)
Argentina Beef Quota Just Opened — Why Your Grocery Bill Won't Budge, and Live Cattle Is Still Setting Up for a Monster Move

Bottom line: U.S. cattle supply is still critically tight; imports are a rounding error; the chart is broken; and the trend is down. Watch the Dec seasonal window and three correlated years, but demand...

LEG26 : 227.150s (+1.41%)
Nasdaq Year-End Playbook Decode 5-Year Correlations and Seasonal Q4

Valuations high? Yes. Concentration risk real? Absolutely. But history shows that Q4 Nasdaq loves to run—especially in years like '97, '10, '14, '18, '21. Supplement your trading with Seasonality and...

NVDA : 182.41 (-0.53%)
META : 673.42 (+1.80%)
NMH26 : 25,985.00s (+0.43%)
AAPL : 278.78 (-0.68%)
RXH26 : 2,544.00s (-0.43%)
ESH26 : 6,937.00s (+0.17%)
ETH26 : 6,937.00s (+0.17%)
PSQ : 29.99 (-0.40%)
QQQ : 625.48 (+0.41%)
MSFT : 483.16 (+0.48%)
QRH26 : 2,544.00s (-0.43%)
YMH26 : 48,357s (+0.19%)
Global Sugar Supply Peaks Near Mid-October: SB Drops 14/15 Years. Are You Trading the Macro or the Noise?

Sugar supply's coming! SMA's loaded! Correlation's screaming! 93% edge on the table!. Are you fading the seasonal sell or letting the big three sugar producers fade you? Clock's ticking—Nov 11 is the...

CANE : 9.57 (-0.34%)
SBH26 : 14.80s (-0.54%)
5-Year Deficit, October Bottoms, Q4 Rockets: Silver's Calendar Is Laughing at Bears

5-Year seasonal & correlations: 95% to 1979, 85% to 2009, 84% to 2010—article reveals 30-day upside possible. You fading three bull-market ghosts? Study the chart or pay the tuition.

SIZ25 : 58.422s (+2.77%)
SIVR : 55.57 (+2.21%)
SOV25 : 47.721s (+1.26%)
SLV : 52.95 (+2.30%)
SPY : 685.69 (+0.19%)
Post-Diwali Demand Drop: How Fundamentals Shape Gold's 2025 Outlook

Seasonal & correlation patterns suggest gold could be a steal in November or December. Post-Diwali demand drops, and a stronger dollar plays a role. Are you tracking these cycles to time your trades? Check...

$DXY : 98.99 (+0.01%)
GCZ25 : 4,212.9s (+0.03%)
GRZ25 : 4,212.9s (+0.03%)
GLD : 386.44 (-0.18%)
GSZ25 : 4,140.00s (+1.12%)
Riding the Fourth Quarter Wave: Tools to Trade Stock Indices

Q4 offers opportunity but demands caution—volatility spikes around earnings. Use seasonal lows to buy SPY or QQQ ETFs. The Dow's 1,063-point hypothetical average gain in the Oct-Dec window is calling....

XLU : 43.30 (-0.94%)
QQQ : 625.48 (+0.41%)
XLV : 153.26 (-0.42%)
YMZ25 : 48,001s (+0.18%)
VDC : 213.85 (-0.17%)
R2US.LN : 73.270 (-0.11%)
NQZ25 : 25,732.00s (+0.43%)
ESZ25 : 6,878.25s (+0.17%)
SPY : 685.69 (+0.19%)
U.S. Dollar Dominance Unleashed: Are You In or Out?

Geopolitical storms in Europe and Asia make the U.S. dollar a safe bet. But can you navigate the risks with inflation above 2% and a trade deficit looming? Dive into DXY or EUR/USD now!

$DXY : 98.99 (+0.01%)
E6Z25 : 1.16480s (-0.09%)
SPY : 685.69 (+0.19%)
DXZ25 : 98.968s (+0.02%)
^EURUSD : 1.16441 (unch)
Preparing to Capitalize on Copper’s Fall 2025 Price Rally

Maximize copper profits: Blend seasonal patterns (Oct-Nov rally) with technicals & fundamentals. Monitor USD, China stimulus, & supply risks. Copper’s fall 2025 setup is too good to ignore!

HGZ25 : 5.3820s (+1.71%)
FCX : 45.20 (+1.32%)
QLZ25 : 5.0030s (+0.71%)
COPX : 68.01 (+1.21%)
Russell 2000: Small-Cap Surge Signals Opportunity Amid Seasonals & Fed Rate Cuts

Fall is prime time for small caps! Barchart data shows Oct & Nov as top months for IWM returns. MRCI’s 87% win rate (Nov 25 > Sept 30) is tempting, but don’t chase patterns alone—blend with tech...

QRZ25 : 2,524.40s (-0.44%)
RXZ25 : 2,524.40s (-0.44%)
SPY : 685.69 (+0.19%)
IWM : 250.77 (-0.42%)
VTWO : 101.39 (-0.43%)

Tweets @Barchart

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Consumer Staples Stocks underperforming the S&P 500 by the largest margin in history 🚨🚨 https://t.co/hGtiYyWlNG
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Fibonacci Trading Cheat Sheet https://t.co/zQHMDHkz2K
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Core Scientific $CORZ has now firmly recovered above its 100-day moving average after its 8-day losing streak in November 📈📈 https://t.co/zWMoLlDx9U https://t.co/IT1vWzCUDK
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Tesla $TSLA now trading above all major moving averages 🚨📈 https://t.co/zsNQ9srgkm https://t.co/KJcS4WwQSQ
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Google Searches for Dollar "Debasement" soared this quarter to the highest level in history 🚨🚨🚨 https://t.co/qJJFqd5b5h
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Source: S&P Global H/T: @GunjanJS @dailychartbook
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U.S. on track to see the highest number of large corporate bankruptcies since 2010 🚨🚨🚨 https://t.co/VbV5GbEDyN
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