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Gold Oct '23 (GCV23)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Drops as Bond Yields Fall on US Inflation and Personal Spending Reports

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday fell slightly by -0.04%.  The dollar was undercut by Friday’s -5 bp decline in the US 10-year T-note yield after the US PCE deflator report was in line with market expectations and kept alive hopes for the Fed to cut interest rates later this year.  T-note yields also fell on Friday’s weaker-than-expected US personal spending report.

The April PCE deflator report of +0.3% m/m and +2.7% y/y was unchanged from March and was in line with market expectations.  The April core PCE deflator report of +0.2% m/m and +2.8% y/y was also in line with market expectations.  The PCE deflator is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure. 

The April PCE deflator report of +2.7% y/y remained 0.2 points above the 3-year low of +2.5% y/y posted in January and February.   The core PCE deflator report of +2.8% y/y was unchanged from the 3-year low of +2.8% posted in February and March.  The nominal and real PCE deflators are still well above the Fed’s 2% inflati... Read more

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