Alibaba Group (BABA) reported a 75% drop in quarterly profit on Aug. 20 as it spent more on AI infrastructure. Even so, revenue rose 9% to nearly $40 billion, while its AI Cloud and Compute Services revenue jumped 45% to $7.2 billion.
Three days later, Alibaba raised $10.2 billion by issuing 710 million new shares at HK$112.70 each. The price was 8.4% below the prior close, diluting existing shareholders by about 3.6%. Investors pushed BABA stock lower as they weighed the cost of the company’s AI plans.
Then Chairman Joseph Tsai bought about $10.3 million of Alibaba shares, while CEO Eddie Wu bought roughly $5 million. Both purchases were made close to the new-share issue price and appear to be their first major reported open-market buys. In other words, shortly after asking shareholders to accept dilution, the two executives put their own money into the stock at nearly the same price.
Alibaba is already investing more than $50 billion in AI infrastructure over three years, and management believes the spending could pay off within 2.5 years. So, should investors see these insider purchases as a sign of confidence in that plan? Let’s take a closer look.
Alibaba’s Financial Progress
Alibaba Group Holding runs China’s largest online shopping platform and also operates cloud computing, logistics, overseas retail, and local services businesses.
BABA stock is down about 1% over the past 52 weeks and 19% so far this year.
It trades at 18.9x forward earnings, above the sector average of 16.08x. The company also pays an annual dividend of $1.03 per share, which works out to a 0.86% yield. Its latest dividend payment was on June 11, 2026. Alibaba pays the dividend once a year, has raised it for one year, and has a forward payout ratio of 43.45%.
The latest quarter shows both the opportunity and the cost of Alibaba’s AI push. Revenue rose 9% YoY to RMB268.95 billion, or $39.64 billion. Customer-management revenue fell 7%, though it would have risen 1% without the impact of contra revenue tied to a new-business-development program. Profit fell sharply as spending increased: operating income dropped 57% to RMB15.16 billion, adjusted EBITA fell 30% to RMB27.33 billion, and net income sank 75% to RMB10.44 billion.
Non-GAAP net income declined 38% to RMB20.72 billion, while non-GAAP earnings per ADS fell 42% to $1.26. Still, operating cash flow increased 11% to RMB22.95 billion, and Alibaba ended the quarter with RMB474.51 billion, or $69.93 billion, in cash and liquid investments. Free cash flow swung to an RMB44.67 billion outflow because of heavier cloud-infrastructure spending.
Insider Buys Signal AI Confidence
On Aug. 24, Alibaba sold 710 million new ordinary shares in Hong Kong at HK$112.70 each, raising about HK$80 billion, or $10.2 billion. The company said all net proceeds would go toward expanding its AI capabilities, including global computing infrastructure and large AI data centers.
It was Alibaba’s first major share sale since its 2019 Hong Kong listing and one of the largest AI-related fundraises by a Chinese company. Demand reached roughly $28 billion, but the deal still diluted existing shareholders by about 3.6% to 3.7%. Since the shares were sold at an 8.4% discount to the prior closing price, Alibaba’s Hong Kong-listed stock dropped about 8.5%, while its U.S.-listed ADRs saw a smaller decline.
Chairman Joseph Tsai and CEO Eddie Wu responded by buying Alibaba shares on the open market. On Aug. 24, they purchased about $15.3 million, or HK$120 million, of stock combined. Tsai bought 720,000 shares for around $10.3 million, while Wu bought 350,000 shares for about $5 million. Tsai later bought more, lifting their combined two-day purchases above HK$200 million. The purchases were disclosed in Hong Kong and SEC filings and were made near the placement price, showing that both executives were willing to buy stock after the selloff.
Alibaba is also building out its AI products. In May 2026, Alibaba Cloud announced several new AI tools and hardware products, including the Qwen3.7-Max model, the Panjiu AL128 server, and T-Head’s Zhenwu M890 chip. More recently, the company released the Qwen Robot Suite, which is designed to help robots navigate, handle objects, and understand their surroundings.
Wall Street’s View of BABA Stock
Alibaba is expected to report its next quarterly results on Nov. 24, covering the September 2026 quarter. Analysts expect earnings of $1.42 per ADS, up from $0.44 in the same quarter last year. That would represent 222.73% YoY growth. For fiscal 2027, Wall Street expects Alibaba to earn $5.88 per ADS, up 82.04% from $3.23 in the prior year.
Bank of America Securities analyst Joyce Ju kept a "Buy" rating on BABA stock and a $172 price target in late August. She pointed to Alibaba Cloud’s 45% revenue growth and improving margins as signs that the cloud business is gaining momentum. Ju sees the company’s higher AI spending as a long-term investment, not wasteful spending. JPMorgan analyst Alex Yao also remained positive, keeping an “Overweight” rating while raising his price target from $205 to $210.
Overall, the 26 analysts tracked by Barchart covering BABA stock rate it a consensus “Strong Buy.” Their average price target is $182.29, which suggests about 52.1% upside from the current share price levels.
Conclusion
Tsai’s and Wu’s purchases are a positive signal, but not a blank check for investors. The key issue is whether Alibaba can turn today’s heavy AI infrastructure spending, and the shareholder dilution used to fund it, into sustained cloud growth, stronger margins, and eventually higher free cash flow. Given the 45% cloud and AI services growth, strong analyst support, and insiders buying near the placement price, BABA shares appear more likely to trend higher over the medium term than lower. Still, the path may stay volatile until upcoming earnings show that AI returns are beginning to match the scale of the investment.
On the date of publication, Ebube Jones did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.