Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) lost nearly 31% of its value on Tuesday, hitting a new 52-week low. Not only did it miss analyst expectations, but it admitted its Foot Locker acquisition was giving it fits.
To put yesterday's decline in context, it was the stock's worst single-day loss since going public in October 2002, nearly 24 years ago.
While the company’s legacy sporting goods retail business delivered good quarterly results, its Foot Locker brand left plenty for investors to be concerned about.
“‘This does not bode well for the major sneaker brands, although they may have been able to offset some of the weakness by leaning more into apparel, especially around the World Cup,’ said Neil Saunders, managing director at GlobalData,” CNBC reported.
“‘Even so, it will set alarm bells ringing for investors.’”
With DKS shares at their lowest level in nearly three years, the aggressive investor will probably weigh making a buy-the-dip bet on the correction.
Is that a good idea? Or is this the downfall of Dick’s after a strong 24-year run? I’ll consider both sides of the argument.
The Foot Locker Acquisition Was a Bridge Too Far
Dick’s acquired Foot Locker on Sept. 8, 2025, for $2.51 billion, which consisted of $2.14 billion in DKS stock, $223 million in cash, and $145.5 million in equity-related items.
Foot Locker shareholders chose to receive approximately 90% of the $ 24-a-share purchase price in DKS stock and the remaining 10% in cash. The value of a DKS share at the time of the acquisition was $223.81 based on 9.58 million shares issued for $2.14 billion.
So, if you are one of the Foot Locker shareholders who immediately sold their Dick’s shares upon receiving them, you’ve saved yourself a good deal of financial (down 42%) and emotional angst.
American corporate history is littered with multi-billion acquisitions that have failed miserably, destroying shareholder value and, perhaps worse, taking management’s eye off the ball.
So far, about a year in, it appears to be a little of both.
On the acquisition itself, because most of the purchase price was in new stock, the company’s cash position has barely changed; it has decreased from $1.16 billion at the end of Q2 2025--the last quarter before accounting for the purchase in Q3 2025--to $914 million at the end of Q2 2026.
However, if you were a shareholder of Dick’s before the acquisition and you still hold shares, they are worth 42% less than they were 11 months ago. Your shares have been diluted by 12.5% based on 80.1 million outstanding as of Q2 2025, 90.0 million as of Q3 2025, and 90.1 million at the end of Q2 2026.
So, if one share of DKS was worth $223.81 last September at the time of the acquisition, including the dilution, it’s now worth $108.77 [$124.31 closing price * (1-.125)] as of yesterday’s close, 51% lower.
Ouch.
The Core Business Is Intact
Excluding the Foot Locker business, the company’s Dick’s Sporting Goods business has averaged same-store sales growth of 4.9% over the past four quarters since completing the acquisition.
The average matches the 4.9% same-store sales growth it just reported yesterday for 2026’s second quarter. In fact, its legacy Dick’s business has had 16 consecutive quarters of same-store sales growth, starting in Q3 2022.
On the earnings front, over the past five second quarters, Dick’s posted at least $300 million in net profit on four occasions, including $319 million in the latest quarter.
In the second quarter, the legacy Dick’s business posted an operating segment profit of $485.2 million, up 2.2% from a year ago, for an operating margin of 12.6%, 40 basis points lower than Q2 2025. That’s barely a blip.
The company’s guidance for 2026 for its legacy Dick’s business: it expects top-line revenue of $14.6 billion at the midpoint of its guidance, up 3.5% from $14.11 billion a year ago, with same-store sales growth of 3.25%. On the bottom line, it expects a segment profit of $1.57 billion, a 10.75% margin, up 33.1% from $1.18 billion in 2025.
Most importantly, it continues to open new stores. In the first six months of 2026, it’s opened four new Dick’s Field House locations, and relocated and converted six others. It’s also relocated or converted six Dick’s House of Sport stores. In total, it plans to open 20 new or relocated/convered Dick’s Field House locations and 14 Dick’s House of Sport in 2026.
Dick’s legacy business is doing just fine.
Buy the DKS Dip?
To answer this question, let me answer another question, which is: Is Foot Locker Dick’s Downfall? Probably not.
The stock hit an all-time high of $254.60 just 19 months ago. How fast it gets back there depends entirely on the company fixing what ails Foot Locker. That’s easier said than done. The entire athletic footwear industry is in the doldrums right now. That’s not changing in the near term. Probably not until sneaker companies launch new products in 2027.
Until then, Dick’s management is focused on two things: Its “Fast Break” remodels of existing Foot Locker stores and closing poor-performing Foot Locker locations.
The Fast Break remodels began as an 11-store trial. They’ve been so successful that it’s accelerating the number of stores it will convert to between 300 and 350 by the end of fiscal 2026 (January 2027 year-end), which are doing much better than the legacy Foot Locker locations.
As for Foot Locker store closures, it has closed 110 worldwide through the first six months of 2026, spread across all its various banners. It will likely close many more in the next six months, either shuttering them completely or converting them to Fast Break locations. That’s a good thing.
Ultimately, DKS had an enterprise value in the quarter before the acquisition that averaged 1.33 times revenue, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Its current enterprise value of $18.18 billion is now 0.82 times Dick’s projected 2026 revenue of $22.05 billion.
Big acquisitions often are company killers, or at least, company stallers, so the risk remains that Dick’s Foot Locker turnaround doesn’t work, and in the meantime, its Dick’s business blows up--in a bad way.
I don’t think that second part is likely to happen, so aggressive investors should definitely take a swing on the buy-the-dip trade. However, I wouldn’t expect much from the stock until sometime in 2027.
On the date of publication, Will Ashworth did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.