Mooresville, North Carolina-based Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) operates as a home improvement retailer. With a market cap of $121.1 billion, the company offers tools, appliances, building supplies, carpet, bathroom, and lighting products.
Shares of leading home improvement retailer have underperformed the broader market over the past year. LOW has declined 14.9% over this time frame, while the broader S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has rallied nearly 20.6%. In 2026, LOW stock is down 9.5%, compared to the SPX’s 13.9% rise on a YTD basis.
Narrowing the focus, LOW’s underperformance is also apparent compared to the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY). The exchange-traded fund has gained about 3.1% over the past year. Moreover, the ETF’s marginal dip on a YTD basis outshines the stock’s single-digit losses over the same time frame.
LOW has underperformed amid housing market headwinds and shifting consumer spending. In addition, multi-decade high mortgage rates have frozen home sales and cut demand for pre-sale and post-purchase renovations. At the same time, retail customers have pulled back on discretionary DIY projects, an area where Lowe's has more exposure than Pro-focused The Home Depot, Inc. (HD).
On May 20, LOW shares closed up more than 1% after reporting its Q1 results. Its adjusted EPS of $3.03 beat Wall Street expectations of $2.96. The company’s revenue was $23.1 billion, beating Wall Street forecasts of $22.9 billion. LOW expects full-year adjusted EPS in the range of $12.25 to $12.75, and revenue in the range of $92 million to $94 million.
For the current fiscal year, ending in January 2027, analysts expect LOW’s EPS to grow 1.3% to $12.45 on a diluted basis. The company’s earnings surprise history is impressive. It beat the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters.
Among the 29 analysts covering LOW stock, the consensus is a “Moderate Buy.” That’s based on 19 “Strong Buy” ratings, one “Moderate Buy,” eight “Holds,” and one “Strong Sell.”
This configuration is more bullish than three months ago, with 18 analysts suggesting a “Strong Buy.”
On Aug. 12, Joe Feldman from Telsey Advisory maintained a “Buy” rating on LOW, with a price target of $280, implying a potential upside of 28.3% from current levels.
The mean price target of $261.53 represents a 19.8% premium to LOW’s current price levels. The Street-high price target of $300 suggests a notable upside potential of 37.5%.
On the date of publication, Neha Panjwani did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.