The daily chart for the Australian dollar futures (D1UZ26) shows that prices are trending up and have recently hit a six-week high. See, too, that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bullish posture as the blue MACD line is above the red trigger line and both lines are trending up. The bulls have the near-term technical advantage.
Fundamentally, Australia’s economy is stable, as is its government. Its central bank is not overly dovish, and its commodity-export-driven economy is benefiting from rising commodity prices overall. In the meantime, the U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) has backed well down from its recent high amid uncertainty regarding Federal Reserve leadership and policy.
A move in the December Aussie dollar futures above chart resistance at last week’s high of $0.7059 would become a buying opportunity. The upside price objective would be $0.7250 or above. Technical support, at which to place a protective sell stop just below, is located at $0.6970.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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