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The company that powered the dot-com era's explosive network growth is now a critical path for scaling AI businesses. Cisco Systems (CSCO), whose networking switches and routers connect the world's largest AI data centers, has watched its stock climb significantly over the past 52 weeks, well ahead of both the S&P 500 and the technology sector, as demand for AI infrastructure has revived the company's core business at a pace not seen in decades.¹
The company raised its AI infrastructure order outlook from $5 billion to $9 billion in its most recent quarter, reported revenue growth of 12%, and issued Q4 guidance that came in nearly $1 billion above Wall Street's expectations.¹
Now Cisco has a lot riding on its next earnings report. Whether the AI networking story continues to accelerate or shows early signs of moderation will shape how the market prices the stock in the second half of the year. For active traders with a view on how that resolves, the Direxion Daily CSCO Bull 2X ETF (CSCL) and the Direxion Daily CSCO Bear 1X ETF (CSCS) offer leveraged long and inverse exposure to Cisco stock in a single trade.
CSCO Stock Performance
Cisco has several factors working in its favor heading into earnings, but the risks are not far behind. With analysts split between Strong Buy and Hold, the earnings report could be the catalyst that breaks it in either direction.
CSCO Bullish Indicators
- AI infrastructure demand is accelerating In its Q3 fiscal 2026 report, Cisco raised its full-year AI infrastructure order outlook from $5 billion to $9 billion, reflecting surging demand for the networking equipment that connects GPU clusters inside AI data centers.¹ The company reported record quarterly revenue and double-digit growth, and its stock jumped 13.4% the following session.¹
- Q4 guidance already exceeded analyst expectations Cisco issued Q4 revenue guidance of $16.7 billion to $16.9 billion, with the midpoint coming in nearly $1 billion above Wall Street's consensus estimate at the time.¹ Adjusted EPS guidance of $1.16 to $1.18 was also ahead of expectations, giving investors a preview of what the quarter may deliver before it is officially reported.
- New AI platform adds to the growth story In June 2026, Cisco unveiled an agentic AI platform designed to help enterprises operate and defend critical IT infrastructure, extending its product portfolio into the AI software and security layer that sits above its networking hardware.² A growing software revenue mix typically supports higher margins and more predictable recurring revenue.
CSCO Bearish Indicators
- The stock has entered a trading range After surging considerably over the past year, CSCO has shown signs of consolidation, trading in a range that some analysts have described as susceptible to both short selling and options strategies that benefit from range-bound behavior.³ A strong earnings report may break the stock out of that range, but a miss or soft guidance could push it toward the lower end.
- A meaningful portion of analysts are not buyers Of the 25 analysts covering CSCO, 10 recommend a Hold rather than a buy, reflecting a consensus that is decidedly mixed compared to more uniformly bullish coverage on other AI names.⁴ The Moderate Buy rating reflects genuine uncertainty about whether Cisco's AI opportunity justifies the stock's current valuation after a 64% run.
- Valuation has expanded significantly on the AI thesis Cisco's stock is pricing in continued AI networking demand at a pace the company will now need to sustain each quarter. Any indication that the AI infrastructure buildout is moderating, or that Cisco is losing market share to competitors like Arista Networks, could weigh on the stock regardless of whether the current quarter's numbers are technically a beat.¹
Analysts are Split on Cisco Stock
Of 25 analysts covering CSCO, 14 rate the stock a Strong Buy, one recommends a Moderate Buy, and 10 suggest a Hold as of August 5, 2026.⁴ The mean 12-month price target is $130.27.⁴
Wall Street is projecting Q4 fiscal 2026 EPS of $0.99, up 22.2% year-over-year from $0.81, with full-year fiscal 2026 EPS of $3.54, up 15.3% from fiscal 2025.⁵ Cisco has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimates in each of its past four quarters.¹
Cisco's Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings date has not been officially announced. The earnings date is currently August 12.
Trade CSCO Volatility With CSCL and CSCS
Traders now have a direct tool to trade this volatility on either side without managing margin requirements or multiple derivative positions.
- The Direxion Daily CSCO Bull 2X ETF (CSCL) targets 200% of the daily performance of CSCO, before fees and expenses. When CSCO rises 1%, CSCL targets a 2% gain before fees. When CSCO falls 1%, CSCL targets a 2% decline before fees.
- The Direxion Daily CSCO Bear 1X ETF (CSCS) targets -100% of the daily performance of CSCO, before fees and expenses. When CSCO falls 1%, CSCS targets a 1% gain before fees. When CSCO rises 1%, CSCS targets a 1% decline before fees.
Both funds reset their leverage daily and are designed for active traders who monitor their positions.⁶
Will Cisco Systems Deliver or Drop?
Cisco enters its upcoming earnings report with the strongest AI demand narrative in its history, a raised order outlook, and guidance that already beat expectations before the quarter was reported. Whether that momentum continues or the market decides the run has gone far enough, the Direxion Daily CSCO Bull 2X ETF (CSCL) and the Direxion Daily CSCO Bear 1X ETF (CSCS) give active traders leveraged exposure to that move without managing complex options strategies or multiple orders.
Sources
¹https://www.barchart.com/story/news/3426835/cisco-systems-quarterly-earnings-preview-what-you-need-to-know
²https://newsroom.cisco.com/c/r/newsroom/en/us/a/y2026/m06/cisco-unveils-agentic-platform-for-operating-and-defending-critical-it-infrastructure.html
³https://www.barchart.com/story/news/3273247/cisco-systems-stock-is-in-a-trading-range-good-for-shorting-puts-and-calls
⁴ https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/CSCO/analyst-ratings
⁵ https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/CSCO/earnings-estimates
⁶ https://www.direxion.com/product/daily-csco-bull-and-bear-leveraged-single-stock-etfs
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Investing in the funds involves a high degree of risk. Unlike traditional ETFs, or even other leveraged and/or inverse ETFs, these leveraged and/or inverse single-stock ETFs track the price of a single stock rather than an index, eliminating the benefits of diversification. Leveraged and inverse ETFs pursue daily leveraged investment objectives, which means they are riskier than alternatives which do not use leverage. They seek daily goals and should not be expected to track the underlying stock’s performance over periods longer than one day. They are not suitable for all investors and should be utilized only by investors who understand leverage risk and who actively manage their investments. The Funds will lose money if the underlying stock’s performance is flat, and it is possible that the Bull Fund will lose money even if the underlying stock’s performance increases, and the Bear Fund will lose money even if the underlying stock’s performance decreases, over a period longer than a single day. Investing in the Funds is not equivalent to investing directly in CSCO.
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Cisco Systems, Inc. Investing Risk – Issuer-specific attributes may cause an investment held by the Fund to be more volatile than the market generally. Cisco Systems, Inc. faces risks associated with: impacts on operations from various avenues; supply chain disruptions; volatility of sales to service providers and cloud markets; changes in distribution; high competition; need to manage strategic alliances; complexities of inventory management; changes in supply and demand for software subscriptions; reliance on new product development; among other risks.
Information Technology Sector Risk — The value of stocks of information technology companies and companies that rely heavily on technology is particularly vulnerable to rapid changes in technology product cycles, rapid product obsolescence, government regulation, and competition, both domestically and internationally, including competition from competitors with lower production cost.
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