Applied Materials (AMAT) investors have an important date approaching. The semiconductor-equipment maker is scheduled to report its fiscal third-quarter results on Aug. 13, giving Wall Street its next major test of whether the artificial intelligence (AI) spending cycle is translating into stronger financial results.
AMAT stock has already delivered a huge rally in 2026. Shares have more than doubled year-to-date (YTD), although the stock remains 28% below its record high of $739.67 reached on June 30. The rally comes with growing expectations for semiconductor manufacturing equipment as chipmakers increase spending on AI processors, memory, and advanced packaging.
Applied Materials has benefited from this trend because its equipment is used to build the increasingly complex chips needed for AI systems. Demand for DRAM and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) has become particularly important as AI workloads require faster movement of data.
The rally has not been smooth, however. AMAT stock surged to its record high in late June before retreating as investors reassessed the memory trade and broader tech valuations. That leaves the Aug. 13 report especially important because expectations have risen considerably following the stock's advance.
Applied Materials Just Delivered Record Results
Analysts expect strong growth in the July quarter. For Q3 2026, Applied Materials guided revenue of about $8.95 billion, plus or minus $500 million, and EPS of about $3.36, plus or minus $0.20. If met, that guidance suggests 23% year-over-year (YOY) sales growth. Consensus estimates are almost the same at roughly $9 billion in revenue and $3.36 in EPS.
For context, Applied Materials delivered record Q2 results in May, reporting revenue of $7.91 billion, up 11% YOY, and EPS of $3.51. The company has generally topped profit forecasts in recent quarters, helped by the rising sales of logic, memory, and packaging tools.
Even so, Q3 remains critical. Applied Materials CFO Brice Hill recently highlighted an eight-quarter visibility backlog, saying customers have already forecast demand two years out. Investors will look for confirmation of this in the upcoming report.
Applied Materials Is Expanding Its AI Opportunity
There is more happening at Applied Materials than simply selling traditional semiconductor equipment.
In June, the company introduced new systems targeting DRAM and advanced packaging for AI chips. The products are designed to support technologies such as HBM and increasingly complex three-dimensional chip structures.
In May, Applied Materials agreed to acquire ASMPT Limited's (ASMVY) NEXX business, expanding its advanced-packaging equipment portfolio. Earlier this year, the firm also joined Synopsys (SNPS) and Nvidia (NVDA) in a collaboration focused on AI and quantum-chemistry research, while its work with Micron (MU) targets next-generation DRAM, HBM, and NAND technologies.
These moves matter because AI chips are becoming more complicated to manufacture. Applied Materials is positioning itself to capture spending across memory, logic, and packaging as that complexity increases.
Wall Street Remains Bullish on AMAT Stock
Analysts remain broadly constructive on Applied Materials, but their targets also show how much optimism is already embedded in AMAT stock.
KeyBanc raised its price target to $750 from $550 in June while maintaining an “Overweight” rating. Wells Fargo also raised its target to $740, while UBS offered a “Buy” rating with a $705 target in July.
The broader analyst picture is similarly favorable. Data from Barchart shows a consensus "Strong Buy" rating among 38 analysts. The average price target of $630.56 implies potential upside of 18% from here.
That bullish backdrop makes Aug. 13 an important checkpoint. Applied Materials has a high bar to clear after its enormous 2026 rally, and investors will be looking for more than another quarterly beat. They will want evidence that AI-driven memory, logic, and packaging demand can keep supporting the company's growth.
On the date of publication, Nauman Khan did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.