Kalshi has reported 5,799 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in August 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 10% chance for "Above 0.3%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 10% probability.
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in August 2025 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 7,325 transactions since it was first opened on August 29, 2025. There are 1,169 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 550,093 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 2362938)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 84682)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 81479)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 69510)
- Filibuster weakened before 2026 (24h volume: 63881)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 39385)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 32967)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 26660)
- Wealthiest person in the world at year-end? (24h volume: 23899)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.199? (24h volume: 22376)
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