Long Straddle Screener Results For December 12th

Volatility is back down at very low levels, with the VIX Index closing at 12.63 yesterday. When volatility is low, options become cheaper, so today we’re taking a look at the Long Straddle Screener.

A long straddle is an advanced options strategy used when a trader is seeking to profit from a big move in either direction and / or an increase in implied volatility.

To execute the strategy, a trader would buy a call and a put with the following conditions:

• Both options must use the same underlying stock
• Both options must have the same expiration
• Both options must have the same strike price

Since it involves having to buy both a call and a put, the trader must pay two premiums up-front, which also happens to be the maximum possible loss.

The potential profit is theoretically unlimited, although the trade will lose money each day through time decay if a big move does not occur.

The position means you will start with a net debit and only profit when the underlying stock rises above the upper break-even point or falls below the lower break-even point.

Profits can be made with a smaller price move if the move happens early in the trade.

Let’s take a look at Barchart’s Long Straddle Screener for December 12th. I have added a filer for Market Cap above 40b and total call volume above 2,000.

The screener shows some interesting long straddle trades on popular stocks such as CVX, XOM, AAPL, CSCO, PFE, MSFT, OXY and BAC. Let’s walk through a couple of examples.

CVX Long Straddle Example

Let’s take a look at the first line item – a long straddle on CVX.

Using the January 19th expiry, the trade would involve buying the $145-strike call and the $145-strike put. The premium paid for the trade would be $800, which is also the maximum loss. The maximum profit is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $137 and the upper breakeven price is $153. 

The premium paid is equal to 5.54% of the stock price and the probability of success is estimated at 44.1%.

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is an 88% Sell with an Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

Implied volatility is currently 21.48% compared to a twelve-month low of 17.34% and a high of 35.64%.

AAPL Long Straddle Example

Let’s take a look at the third line item – a long straddle on AAPL.

Using the January 19th expiry, the trade would involve buying the $195 strike call and the $195 strike put. The premium paid for the trade would be $845, which is also the maximum loss. The maximum profit is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $186.55 and the upper breakeven price is $203.45. 

The premium paid is equal to 4.37% of the stock price and the probability of success is estimated at 43.9%.

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is an 88% Buy with an Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

Implied volatility is currently 16.93% compared to a twelve-month low of 15.80% and a high of 42.79%.

CSCO Long Straddle Example

Let’s take a look at one final straddle, a long straddle on CSCO.

Using the March 15th expiry, the trade would involve buying the $50 strike call and the $50 strike put. The premium paid for the trade would be $417, which is also the maximum loss. The maximum profit is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $45.83 and the upper breakeven price is $54.17. 

The premium paid is equal to 8.44% of the stock price and the probability of success is estimated at 43.8%.

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Implied volatility is currently 16.15% compared to a twelve-month low of 13.70% and a high of 34.15%.

Mitigating Risk

Long straddles can lose money fairly quickly if the stock stay flat, and / or if implied volatility drops.

Position sizing is important so that a large loss does not cause more than a 1-2% loss in total portfolio value. Another good rule of thumb is a 20-30% stop loss.

Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment. This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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