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Tue, Nov 13th, 2018
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes as of Tue, Nov 13th, 2018.
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes, based on [[ timeframe ]] data.
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  • Cotton Market Commentary

    Cotton futures failed to post a Turnaround Tuesday bounce, down 52 to 60 points following an overnight rally attempt. The US dollar index was down 369...

  • Coffee Market Commentary

    Dec arabica coffee (KCZ18) on Tuesday closed down -0.95 (-0.86%) and Jan ICE robusta coffee (RMZ18) closed up +2 (+0.12%). Arabica and robusta coffee...

  • Sugar Market Commentary

    March world sugar #11 (SBH19) on Tuesday closed down -0.33 (-2.55%) and March ICE white sugar (SWH19) closed down -6.30 (-1.80%). Both March world sugar...

  • Cocoa Market Commentary

    Dec ICE NY cocoa (CCZ18) on Tuesday closed up +2 (+0.09%) and Dec ICE London cocoa (CAZ18) closed down -25 (-1.55%). Dec NY cocoa and Dec ICE London both...

  • Morning Softs Report 11/13/18

    COTTON General Comments Cotton was lower yesterday in response to the stronger US Dollar and weak demand ideas. Speculators were the best sellers and [...]...

  • Cotton Market Commentary

    Cotton futures are failing to post a Turnaround Tuesday bounce, down 61 to 67 points at midday following an overnight rally attempt. The US dollar index...

cmdty Insider - Ag Market Commentary


Cotton futures failed to post a Turnaround Tuesday bounce, down 52 to 60 points following an overnight rally attempt. The US dollar index was down 369 points on the day, but a sharply lower crude oil pressured the market for synthetic fibers. The weekly Crop Progress report indicated that 54% of the US cotton crop was harvested as of 11/11, still trailing the 61% average. Snow can be a problem! The USDA weekly AWP is 69.86 cents/lb, good through this Thursday. The Cotlook A index was down 95 points from the previous day at 87.40 cents/lb on Nov 12.Dec 18 Cotton closed at 75.860, down 52 points,Mar 19 Cotton closed at 77.660, down 59 pointsMay 19 Cotton closed at 78.990, down 60 points--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Dec arabica coffee (KCZ18) on Tuesday closed down -0.95 (-0.86%) and Jan ICE robusta coffee (RMZ18) closed up +2 (+0.12%). Arabica and robusta coffee prices both fell to fresh 5-week lows on Tuesday on signs of abundant supplies. Robusta coffee prices were able to shed their losses Tuesday and closed slightly higher as a weak dollar spurred fund short covering. Coffee prices were weighed down by negative carry-over from last Thursday when the USDA's FAS raised its Brazil 2018/19 coffee production estimate to a record 63.4 mln bags (+25% y/y) from a May projection of 60.2 mln bags. The International Coffee Organization (ICO) also projects a global 2017/18 coffee surplus of +1.59 mln bags from a -3.1 mln bag deficit in the 2016/17 season. ICE-monitored coffee inventories continue to climb and rose to a 4-year high of 2.458 mln bags on Monday. In addition, ample rainfall in Minas Gerais, Brazil's largest arabica coffee region, is weighing on coffee prices after Somar Meteorologia reported that rainfall in Minas Gerais totaled 50.7 mm in the past week, or 112% of the historical average. Arabica coffee on Tuesday closed below its 50-day moving average, which may lead to technical selling on Wednesday. A negative factor for robusta coffee prices is increased supply from Vietnam, the world's biggest robusta producer, after Vietnam's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development reported Monday that Vietnam Jan-Oct coffee exports rose +21.2% y/y to 1.57 MMT.

March world sugar #11 (SBH19) on Tuesday closed down -0.33 (-2.55%) and March ICE white sugar (SWH19) closed down -6.30 (-1.80%). Both March world sugar #11 and March ICE white sugar tumbled to 5-week lows on Tuesday after the Brazilian real dropped to a 5-week low against the dollar, which gives incentive for Brazil's sugar producers to boost more-profitable exports. Also, crude oil prices slumped to a 10-3/4 month low, which undercuts ethanol prices and may prompt Brazil's sugar producers to divert more sugarcane crushing toward sugar production. Sugar prices were already on the defensive after Monday's data from Unica showed that Brazil’s Center-South sugar cane crush was 24.9 MMT in the second-half of Oct, above forecasts of 24.2 MMT.

Dec ICE NY cocoa (CCZ18) on Tuesday closed up +2 (+0.09%) and Dec ICE London cocoa (CAZ18) closed down -25 (-1.55%). Dec NY cocoa and Dec ICE London both posted 2-week lows Tuesday, but Dec NY cocoa recovered its losses and closed slightly higher as dollar weakness spurred short covering. Dec ICE London cocoa maintained its losses as GBP/USD moved higher. Cocoa prices were under pressure Tuesday on signs of ample supplies. The Ivory Coast reported Monday that farmers sent 419,055 MT of cocoa to ports from Oct 1-Nov 11, up +46.5% from the same time last year. Also, the Ghana Cocoa Board said it purchased 119,894 MT of cocoa from farmers Oct 5-Nov 1, up +20.3% y/y. West African cocoa yields may also climb after the U.S. Climate Prediction Center forecast average to above-average precipitation for most of Ivory Coast's and Ghana's cocoa growing areas for this week.
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