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Wheat Dec '18 (ZWZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Wheat Market Commentary


Wheat futures are steady to fractionally lower in KC and fractionally higher in MPLS. CBT is up 2 to 4 cents in most contracts. Ahead of Friday’s delayed Export Sales report, traders are estimating 400,000-650,000 MT of wheat was sold in the week ending on November 8. Japan purchased 120,226 MT of wheat from Australia, Canada and the US in their weekly tender, with 50,327 MT US origin. Saudi Arabia is seeking 475,000 MT of wheat for Jan-Mar 2019 delivery in a tender that will close on Friday.Dec 18 CBOT Wheat is at $5.06 3/4, up 3 3/4 cents,Dec 18 KCBT Wheat is at $4.81, unch ,Dec 18 MGEX Wheat is at $5.76 1/4, up 1/4 cent--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Chicago Soft Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,375/1,250
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (15 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (29 days)

Seasonal Chart

Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
206,786 (-6,884)
209,050 (-3,227)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
159,350 (-1,553)
149,491 (-3,643)
Producers - Long / Short
66,593 (-3,411)
146,900 (-367)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
86,613 (+515)
8,570 (+1,128)
Managed Money - Long / Short
79,302 (+2,276)
121,267 (-3,687)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
80,048 (-3,829)
28,224 (+44)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
485-4 +4.38%
on 10/25/18
527-0 -3.84%
on 10/16/18
-18-2 (-3.48%)
since 10/15/18
3-Month
485-4 +4.38%
on 10/25/18
582-6 -13.04%
on 08/17/18
-45-0 (-8.16%)
since 08/15/18
52-Week
468-2 +8.22%
on 12/12/17
613-0 -17.33%
on 08/02/18
+10-2 (+2.06%)
since 11/15/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 515-0
1st Resistance Point 509-0
Last Price 506-4
1st Support Level 499-0
2nd Support Level 495-0

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52-Week High 613-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 557-6
Fibonacci 50% 540-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 523-4
Last Price 506-4
52-Week Low 468-2

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