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Wheat Mar '18 (ZWH18)

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Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Market News and Commentary

Wheat futures were a penny to 6 cents lower in most contracts on Friday, as Dec futures expired today. Wheat 18/19 export commitments are now just 9.5% behind this time last year. They are now 60% of USDA’s newly updated projection of 1 bbu, with the normal pace at 77%. Spec funds in KC wheat futures and options flipped back to a net long position by a move of 4,874 contracts as of Wednesday to a net long position of 2,429 contracts. They trimmed 6,005 contracts from their net short position in CBT wheat to take it to -22,402 contracts. Russia’s ag ministry estimates that the country’s 18/19 wheat crop totaled 70 MMT. BAGE estimates that Argentina’s wheat crop is now 75.2% mature, with harvest even with the average pace at 57.4%. They put condition @ 35.8% good/ex, compared to 63.9% good/ex last year.Mar 19 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.30, down 6 cents,Mar 19 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.18 1/4, down 1 3/4 cents,Mar 19 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.84, down 4 1/4 cents--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Chicago Soft Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,375/1,250
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Wheat Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
154,332 (-6,565)
142,683 (-5,402)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
137,470 (+1,243)
135,810 (-2,509)
Producers - Long / Short
51,502 (-7,641)
119,918 (-7,285)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
85,603 (-926)
5,538 (-119)
Managed Money - Long / Short
88,293 (+1,805)
110,748 (-2,765)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
49,177 (-562)
25,062 (+256)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
444-6 +11.47%
on 02/22/18
506-2 -2.07%
on 03/02/18
+40-0 (+8.78%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
413-2 +19.96%
on 01/16/18
506-2 -2.07%
on 03/02/18
+77-4 (+18.53%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
410-4 +20.77%
on 12/12/17
604-6 -18.02%
on 07/05/17
+2-2 (+0.46%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 503-7
1st Resistance Point 499-7
Last Price 495-6
1st Support Level 488-3
2nd Support Level 480-7

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52-Week High 604-6
Fibonacci 61.8% 530-4
Fibonacci 50% 507-5
Last Price 495-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 484-6
52-Week Low 410-4

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InsideFutures Commentary

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