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Wheat Mar '18 (ZWH18)

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Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary


Wheat futures are mostly 1 to 5 cents higher this morning, with KC HRW the strongest. They closed Wednesday with gains of 5 to 8 cents in most front months, disregarding soon to expire December. The range of trade estimates for all wheat sales in today’s Export Sales report is 500,000-800,000 MT. On Tuesday, USDA narrowed the cash average wheat price estimate by 20 cents to $5.05-$5.25, with the mid-point rising a nickel to $5.15. The same WASDE report saw Australian 18/19 production down 0.5 to 17 MMT, with Canadian up 0.3 to 31.8 MMT. Egypt’s GASC purchased 180,000 MT of wheat on Wednesday, split between Russia (120,000) and Romania (60,000). Iraq purchased 50,000 MT of US wheat from their tender back on Dec. 3, with the deal finalized late on Tuesday. --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Chicago Soft Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,375/1,250
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Wheat Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 4, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
160,897 (-12,203)
148,085 (+839)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
136,227 (+5,500)
138,319 (-7,977)
Producers - Long / Short
59,143 (-11,510)
127,203 (-1,964)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
86,529 (-4,587)
5,657 (-1,091)
Managed Money - Long / Short
86,488 (+5,292)
113,513 (-6,427)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
49,739 (+208)
24,806 (-1,550)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
444-6 +11.47%
on 02/22/18
506-2 -2.07%
on 03/02/18
+40-0 (+8.78%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
413-2 +19.96%
on 01/16/18
506-2 -2.07%
on 03/02/18
+77-4 (+18.53%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
410-4 +20.77%
on 12/12/17
604-6 -18.02%
on 07/05/17
+2-2 (+0.46%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 503-7
1st Resistance Point 499-7
Last Price 495-6
1st Support Level 488-3
2nd Support Level 480-7

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52-Week High 604-6
Fibonacci 61.8% 530-4
Fibonacci 50% 507-5
Last Price 495-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 484-6
52-Week Low 410-4

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