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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary


Soybean futures are trading 1 to 2 cents higher on Thursday with most contracts backing off the highs. Front month soy meal is down $1.40/ton, with soy oil up 7 points. The monthly NOPA report indicated that its members crushed 172.346 mbu of soybeans during October, exceeding expectations. That all-time record was 4.93% larger than last year and up 7.19% from September. Soy oil stocks were at 1.502 billion pounds, down 1.88% from last month. Trade estimates are running 400,000-700,000 MT for 18/19 soybean export sales for the week that ended 11/8. Soy meal sales are expected at 100,000-400,000 MT, with soy oil at 5,000-30,000 MT.Jan 19 Soybeans are at $8.85, up 1 1/2 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans are at $8.98 1/2, up 1 3/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans are at $9.11 3/4, up 1 1/2 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans are at $9.24 1/2, up 1 1/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal is at $304.30, down $1.40Dec 18 Soybean Oil is at $27.64, up $0.07--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
394,362 (-9,543)
326,165 (+20,881)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
135,508 (+261)
169,521 (-29,941)
Producers - Long / Short
252,369 (-11,924)
291,597 (+20,328)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
120,020 (+1,322)
12,595 (-506)
Managed Money - Long / Short
74,952 (+890)
113,818 (-30,159)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
60,556 (-629)
55,703 (+218)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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