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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary

Fri Sep 21, 11:43AM CDT
Soybean futures are currently 4 to 5 cents in the red at midday. Soybean meal is down $4.70/ton, while soy oil is up 29 points. USDA reported a private export sale of 100,000 MT of soy meal to unknown for 18/19 delivery through their daily reporting system this morning. Weekly export sales data shows that soybeans export commitments (exports and unshipped sales) for 18/19 are down 7.2% from last year. Compared to the USDA export number, they are 32% complete, with last year running 34% at this time and the 5-year average at 42%.NOV 18 Soybeans are at $8.45 1/4, down 5 cents,JAN 19 Soybeans are at $8.59, down 5 cents,MAR 19 Soybeans are at $8.72 1/4, down 4 3/4 cents,MAY 19 Soybeans are at $8.85 1/2, down 4 1/4 cents,OCT 18 Soybean Meal is at $306.70, down $4.70,OCT 18 Soybean Oil is at $27.89, up $0.29

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,585/2,350
First Notice Date
10/30/18 (39 days)
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (54 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybeans Nov '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Nov contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
458,229 (+13,360)
361,704 (+3,434)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
154,029 (+516)
220,581 (+11,411)
Producers - Long / Short
294,544 (+16,673)
309,269 (+2,822)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
132,459 (-1,916)
21,209 (+2,009)
Managed Money - Long / Short
77,326 (-833)
156,221 (+8,263)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
76,703 (+1,349)
64,360 (+3,148)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
812-2 +4.31%
on 09/18/18
885-2 -4.29%
on 08/22/18
-38-6 (-4.37%)
since 08/21/18
3-Month
812-2 +4.31%
on 09/18/18
922-2 -8.13%
on 07/31/18
-54-2 (-6.02%)
since 06/21/18
52-Week
812-2 +4.31%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -20.11%
on 05/29/18
-141-4 (-14.31%)
since 09/21/17

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Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 854-5
1st Resistance Point 850-7
Last Price 847-2s
1st Support Level 842-3
2nd Support Level 837-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 847-2s
52-Week Low 812-2

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