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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary


Soybean futures are showing 3 to 3 1/2 cent gains on Tuesday. Nearby soy meal is up 30 cent/ton, with soy oil 13 points higher. This morning’s monthly WASDE update from the USDA showed no changes to the US supply and demand table, with 18/19 US carryout at 955 mbu. World ending stocks are now projected at 115.33 MMT by WOAB, up 3.25 MMT from their prior estimate. Revisions were made to 17/18 numbers, as Brazil’s production was raised 0.5 to 120.3 MMT and carryout was 1.6 MMT higher. For 18/19 USDA increased their Brazilian soybean production number to 122 MMT, vs. the new CONAB update at 120.066 MMT.Jan 19 Soybeans are at $9.13, up 3 1/4 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans are at $9.26 1/4, up 3 1/2 cents,May 19 Soybeans are at $9.38 3/4, up 3 1/4 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans are at $9.50 3/4, up 3 1/2 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal is at $308.20, up $0.30Dec 18 Soybean Oil is at $28.65, up $0.13--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 4, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
385,314 (-21,903)
363,135 (+27,921)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
154,886 (+15,831)
145,935 (-32,966)
Producers - Long / Short
250,456 (-17,686)
325,059 (+26,589)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
113,374 (-4,794)
16,592 (+755)
Managed Money - Long / Short
88,963 (+15,722)
101,539 (-31,005)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
65,923 (+109)
44,396 (-1,961)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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InsideFutures Commentary

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