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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybeans Market News and Commentary

Soybean futures closed Friday with losses of 6 to 6 3/4 cents, despite another export sale to China. Dec soy meal expired at $309.40/ton, with soy oil at 28.39 cents/lb. Separate soybean export sales of 300,000 MT to China and another 130,000 MT to Unknown both for 18/19 delivery were reported through the USDA’s daily reporting system this morning. This afternoon’s Commitment of Traders report showed specs in soybean futures and options trimming their net short position by 6,525 contracts as of 12/11 to -11,068 contracts. Analysts estimated Monday’s NOPA report will show 168.444 mbu of soybeans crushed by its members during November. Soy oil stocks are projected to total 1.503 billion pounds. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange estimated that 68.8% of the Argentine soybean crop is planted, above the 66.9% average pace. They also pegged the initial conditions at 19.1% gd/ex, vs. 49.3% gd/ex last year.Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $9.00 1/2, down 6 1/2 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.13 3/4, down 6 3/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.27, down 6 1/4 cents,Aug 19 Soybeans closed at $9.43, down 6 1/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $309.40, unch,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $28.39, down $0.25--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
398,947 (+13,633)
368,389 (+5,254)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
144,809 (-10,077)
138,878 (-7,057)
Producers - Long / Short
261,739 (+11,283)
325,559 (+500)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
112,694 (-680)
18,316 (+1,724)
Managed Money - Long / Short
84,880 (-4,083)
85,563 (-15,976)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
59,929 (-5,994)
53,315 (+8,919)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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InsideFutures Commentary

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