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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
10/31/18 (78 days)
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (92 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 7, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
414,675 (+12,628)
370,659 (+1,636)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
166,922 (-10,626)
185,600 (-6,031)
Producers - Long / Short
237,133 (+14,370)
310,364 (+2,536)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
133,060 (-1,246)
15,813 (-404)
Managed Money - Long / Short
76,334 (-6,680)
139,400 (-10,173)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
90,588 (-3,946)
46,200 (+4,142)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
826-2 +6.38%
on 07/16/18
922-2 -4.69%
on 07/31/18
+44-6 (+5.36%)
since 07/13/18
3-Month
826-2 +6.38%
on 07/16/18
1060-4 -17.11%
on 05/29/18
-144-2 (-14.10%)
since 05/14/18
52-Week
826-2 +6.38%
on 07/16/18
1060-4 -17.11%
on 05/29/18
-77-6 (-8.13%)
since 08/14/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Tue Aug 14, 7:25AM CDT
Soybean futures are currently 2 to 3 cents higher after closing 6 to 7 1/2 cents higher on Monday. Nearby soy meal was up $4.30/ton, with soy oil 25 points higher. The USDA indicated that 580,824 MT of soybeans were inspected for export during the week ending 8/9. That was a 35% drop from the week prior and down 1.7% from this week last year. YTD exports are now 3.19% lower than the same time in 2017. NASS reported that 84% of the US soybean crop was setting pods as of Sunday vs. the average of 72%. The crop was rated at 66% good/ex, with the Brugler500 Index dropping 1 point from last week to 369. Wednesday’s NOPA report is expected to show 161.745 mbu of soybeans were crushed during July, which would be well above last July. Friday afternoon’s FSA data showed that 271,082 acres of soybeans were enrolled in prevent plant, 38% fewer than August 2017.

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 882-6
1st Resistance Point 875-6
Last Price 877-2
1st Support Level 856-4
2nd Support Level 844-2

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 971-0
Fibonacci 50% 943-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 915-6
Last Price 877-2
52-Week Low 826-2

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