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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
10/31/18 (76 days)
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (90 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 7, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
414,675 (+12,628)
370,659 (+1,636)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
166,922 (-10,626)
185,600 (-6,031)
Producers - Long / Short
237,133 (+14,370)
310,364 (+2,536)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
133,060 (-1,246)
15,813 (-404)
Managed Money - Long / Short
76,334 (-6,680)
139,400 (-10,173)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
90,588 (-3,946)
46,200 (+4,142)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
846-0 +5.64%
on 07/17/18
922-2 -3.09%
on 07/31/18
+48-0 (+5.68%)
since 07/16/18
3-Month
826-2 +8.17%
on 07/16/18
1060-4 -15.72%
on 05/29/18
-115-2 (-11.42%)
since 05/16/18
52-Week
826-2 +8.17%
on 07/16/18
1060-4 -15.72%
on 05/29/18
-51-0 (-5.40%)
since 08/16/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

1 hour ago
Soybean futures are trading 16 to 17 cents higher this morning after China indicated that it would return to the bargaining table with the US for low level talks. That’s not the same as having a deal, but you can’t get a deal if you aren’t talking! The front months closed 8 to 11 cents lower on Wednesday. Nearby soy meal was down $6.30/ton, with soy oil 40 points lower. NOPA monthly crush was 167.733 mbu in July, the second largest monthly figure ever. It was a 5.34% jump from June and up 15.9% from July 2017. Fat board crush margins and record large 4th quarter soybean stocks made it feasible. July 31 soy oil stocks were slightly lower than June at 1.764 billion pounds. Trade estimates are running anywhere from 100,000-400,000 MT for old crop export sales and 300,000-700,000 MT for new crop sales ahead of this morning’s weekly FAS report. Brazil consultant Celeres estimates that the country’s soybean acreage will grow by 3.1% in 18/19 to 89.45 million acres. They also expect the country to produce 119.6 MMT of soybeans. China sold 127,270 MT of 2013 soybeans from state reserves on Wednesday, totaling 42.12% of the amount offered.

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 890-0
1st Resistance Point 879-4
Last Price 893-4
1st Support Level 863-0
2nd Support Level 857-0

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 971-0
Fibonacci 50% 943-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 915-6
Last Price 893-4
52-Week Low 826-2

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