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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary


Soybean futures are currently 2 to 2 1/2 cents higher than on Monday. They ended Monday with 5 to 7 cents losses. The weekly Export Inspections report indicated that 922,094 MT were exported in the week that ended on December 6. That was down 11.84% from the prior week and 25.83% lower than last year. Spec funds in soybean futures and options slashed their CFTC net short position by 46,269 contracts on 12/4 to a net position of -17,593 contracts. The average trade guess for USDA soybean ending stocks is 945 million bushels, with most assuming USDA has no evidence of Chinese purchases to justify a change in exports. Brazil’s ABIOVE estimated the country’s 18/19 soybean crop at 120.9 MMT, 1.4 larger than the previous number. --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 27, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
407,217 (+4,154)
335,214 (+5,629)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
139,055 (+3,526)
178,901 (+1,025)
Producers - Long / Short
268,142 (+5,176)
298,470 (+6,118)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
118,168 (+416)
15,837 (+949)
Managed Money - Long / Short
73,241 (-537)
132,544 (+5,587)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
65,814 (+4,063)
46,357 (-4,562)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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WASDE REPORT FOR 12/11/18

WASDE REPORT FOR 12/11/18

Reaction

Overreaction

Corn Market Commentary

Corn futures are trading fractionally higher ahead of this morning’s monthly USDA supply/demand update. They closed Monday steady to 1 1/2 cents lower, with Dec up 1/4 cent ahead of Friday’s...

Soybeans Market Commentary

Soybean futures are currently 2 to 2 1/2 cents higher than on Monday. They ended Monday with 5 to 7 cents losses. The weekly Export Inspections report indicated that 922,094 MT were exported in the week...

Wheat Market Commentary

Wheat futures are trading 1 to 2 cents higher this morning. They sustained 4 to 6 1/4 cent losses in most CBT and MPLS contracts yesterday, with KC fractionally to 1 3/4 cents lower. USDA’s weekly...

December Reports are Usually Dull

Surprises?

Traders Quietly Wait for USDA Report Revisions

Traders Quietly Wait for USDA Report Revisions

Soybeans Market Commentary

Soybean futures settled the day with 5 to 7 cents losses, ahead of Tuesday’s WASDE report. Nearby soy meal was down $1.20/ton, with soy oil 2 points higher. A private export sale of 125,000 MT of...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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