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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybean Market News and Commentary

Soybean futures came back from 6-7 cent losses earlier in the session to close with 1 to 2 cent gains in most contracts. Meal futures were down 20 cents/ton in the nearby contract, with soy oil up 22 points to lead the product values. Traders expect this week’s USDA Ag Outlook Forum to show forecasted 2019 soybean acreage at 86.144 million acres, down 3.052 million acres from last year. December soybean crush data will be released on Friday afternoon, after being delayed due to the government shutdown. Export sales will also be brought up to date this Friday, with a combined report showing data from the weeks ending on Jan 10-Feb 14. Brazil’s soybean production estimate was trimmed slightly to 116.5 MMT by Agroconsult. They also cut their 2019 export projection by 2.8 MMT to 70.2 MMT.Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.02 1/2, up 1 3/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.16, up 1 1/2 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.29 3/4, up 1 3/4 cents,Sep 19 Soybeans closed at $9.39 1/4, up 2 cents,Mar 19 Soybean Meal closed at $305.20, down $0.20,Mar 19 Soybean Oil closed at $29.96, up $0.22 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,925/1,750
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
374,100 (-11,453)
344,202 (+8,142)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
129,565 (+8,323)
120,993 (-12,086)
Producers - Long / Short
247,842 (-6,728)
314,422 (+10,731)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
104,095 (-931)
7,617 (+1,205)
Managed Money - Long / Short
75,594 (+9,499)
70,933 (-10,456)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
53,971 (-1,176)
50,060 (-1,630)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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InsideFutures Commentary

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