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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary

42 minutes ago
Soybean futures are posting 18 to 19 1/2 cent losses in most contracts at midday. Front month soy meal is down $6.50/ton, with soy oil 40 points lower. Export sales of 18/19 soybeans were reported at just 293,566 MT for the week that ended on October 11. That was well below this time last year, as they saw a 33.2% drop wk/wk. Analysts were estimating 0.6-1 MMT in sales. Most of the sales were switched from unknown, which saw a net reduction of 694,400 MT. There were 8,730 MT in net sales to China. Soy meal sales were tallied at 104,342 MT, with soy oil 26,583 MT in the first full week of the new MY.Nov 18 Soybeans are at $8.66 1/4, down 19 1/2 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans are at $8.80 1/2, down 19 1/4 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans are at $8.93 1/2, down 18 3/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans are at $9.06 1/2, down 18 1/2 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal is at $317.20, down $6.50Dec 18 Soybean Oil is at $29.16, down $0.40--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management, Call (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
10/31/18 (13 days)
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (27 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily chart Soybeans Nov '18
Average price for the 5 prior Nov contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
452,017 (-13,708)
380,834 (-15,580)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
156,086 (-6,218)
197,380 (-3,951)
Producers - Long / Short
283,926 (-12,371)
321,944 (-16,916)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
126,252 (-3,602)
17,051 (-929)
Managed Money - Long / Short
87,990 (-3,558)
127,681 (-6,745)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
68,096 (-2,660)
69,699 (+2,794)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
813-2 +6.24%
on 09/19/18
892-0 -3.14%
on 10/15/18
+50-0 (+6.14%)
since 09/18/18
3-Month
812-2 +6.37%
on 09/18/18
922-2 -6.32%
on 07/31/18
+6-2 (+0.73%)
since 07/18/18
52-Week
812-2 +6.37%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -18.53%
on 05/29/18
-136-0 (-13.60%)
since 10/18/17

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Terrible exports put a drag on grains

Which might be a great buying opportunity

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 893-5
1st Resistance Point 889-5
Last Price 864-2
1st Support Level 881-7
2nd Support Level 878-1

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 864-2
52-Week Low 812-2

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