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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
10/31/18 (77 days)
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (91 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 7, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
414,675 (+12,628)
370,659 (+1,636)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
166,922 (-10,626)
185,600 (-6,031)
Producers - Long / Short
237,133 (+14,370)
310,364 (+2,536)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
133,060 (-1,246)
15,813 (-404)
Managed Money - Long / Short
76,334 (-6,680)
139,400 (-10,173)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
90,588 (-3,946)
46,200 (+4,142)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
826-2 +5.99%
on 07/16/18
922-2 -5.04%
on 07/31/18
+41-4 (+4.97%)
since 07/13/18
3-Month
826-2 +5.99%
on 07/16/18
1060-4 -17.42%
on 05/29/18
-149-0 (-14.54%)
since 05/15/18
52-Week
826-2 +5.99%
on 07/16/18
1060-4 -17.42%
on 05/29/18
-66-2 (-7.03%)
since 08/15/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Tue Aug 14, 4:45PM CDT
Soybean futures settled 7 1/2 to 11 cents higher. Nearby soy meal was up $8.30/ton, with soy oil 15 points lower. Reports of Brazilian producers plowing up sugar cane fields to plant more soybeans are being ignored. China continues to pay a huge FOB premium for Brazilian beans that are exempt from the Chinese imposed 25% tariff. NASS reported that 84% of the US soybean crop was setting pods as of Sunday vs. the average of 72%. The crop was rated at 66% good/ex, with the Brugler500 Index dropping 1 point from last week to 369. Conditions improved last week in IN, OH and SD among other states, with ND down 20 points in the Brugler500 Index system and both NE and MO dropping 9. Wednesday’s NOPA report is expected to show 161.745 mbu of soybeans were crushed during July, which would be well above last July.Aug 18 Soybeans closed at $8.64 1/2, up 11 cents,Sep 18 Soybeans closed at $8.68 1/4, up 11 cents,Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.79 3/4, up 11 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.91 3/4, up 11 cents,Aug 18 Soybean Meal closed at $335.00, up $7.20,Aug 18 Soybean Oil closed at $28.09, down $0.15

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The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 891-3
1st Resistance Point 885-5
Last Price 875-6
1st Support Level 869-1
2nd Support Level 858-3

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 971-0
Fibonacci 50% 943-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 915-6
Last Price 875-6
52-Week Low 826-2

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