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Soybeans Mar '18 (ZSH18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary

Wed Sep 26, 7:21AM CDT
Soybean futures are currently 4 to 5 cents higher after also ending the Turnaround Tuesday session with most contracts 4 to 5 cents in the green. Preliminary open interest rose 5,973 contracts. Nearby soy meal was up $1.50/ton, while soy oil saw 11-point gains. A 24-hour strike closed ports in Argentina on Tuesday. Both Brazil and Argentina are planning to import US beans for crushers to replace what was shipped to China. Friday’s Grain Stocks report, released at 11 a.m. CDT, is expected to show 398 mbu of soybean stocks on September 1, based on trade surveys. That is a buildup of 96 mbu from last year and 3 higher than the Sept S&D table. As of Sunday, all of the 18 reported states were matching or ahead of their normal harvest pace except Arkansas. Soybean condition ratings in NE were down 3 points, with NC seeing the largest loss following Hurricane Florence, down 34.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,585/2,350
First Notice Date
02/27/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybeans Mar '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Mar contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
471,349 (+13,120)
372,262 (+10,558)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
163,103 (+9,074)
232,629 (+12,048)
Producers - Long / Short
306,808 (+12,264)
314,824 (+5,555)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
131,097 (-1,362)
23,994 (+2,785)
Managed Money - Long / Short
83,287 (+5,961)
165,504 (+9,283)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
79,816 (+3,113)
67,125 (+2,765)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1012-0 +1.63%
on 02/16/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+11-2 (+1.11%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
944-4 +8.89%
on 01/12/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+49-6 (+5.08%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
922-2 +11.52%
on 06/23/17
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+26-6 (+2.67%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1047-4
1st Resistance Point 1038-0
Last Price 1028-4s
1st Support Level 1023-6
2nd Support Level 1019-0

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52-Week High 1071-0
Last Price 1028-4s
Fibonacci 61.8% 1014-1
Fibonacci 50% 996-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 979-1
52-Week Low 922-2

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