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Soybean Meal Dec '18 (ZMZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Meal Market Commentary

56 minutes ago
Soybean futures posted 22 to 24 cent gains on Monday. They got a fair share of bullish news from a slow harvest, large September NOPA crush and exports picking up. Nearby soy meal was up $10.10/ton, with soy oil 37 points higher. Soybean export inspections in the week that ended on 10/11 were 1.158 MMT. That was more than double the previous week but down 35.18% from the same week in 2017. There were 2 separate cargos totaling 134,729 MT that were headed to China. This morning’s NOPA report showed that members crushed 160.779 mbu of soybeans during September. That exceeded expectations and was 17.86% larger than last year. Soy oil stocks were shown at 1.531 billion pounds at the end of September, below estimates and 5.68% lower than August. As the trade had thought, soybean harvest was slowed over the past week. USDA reported it 38% complete, with the normal pace at 53% for this date. Condition ratings for soybeans were 2% lower at 66% gd/ex and down 4 on the Brugler500 at 370. Some WCB states showed significant declines, such as MO and IA.Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.91 1/2, up 24 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $9.05 3/4, up 24 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.18, up 23 1/2 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.41 1/2, up 22 1/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $327.00, up $10.10,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $29.76, up $0.37--Call Brugler Marketing & Management @ (402) 289-2330 with questions or news tips.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Meal
Contract Size
100 tons (2,000 pounds per ton)
Tick Size
10 cents per ton ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$1,595/1,450
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (46 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (60 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybean Meal Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
241,563 (-9,632)
335,797 (+6,954)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
122,545 (+5,573)
43,582 (-8,262)
Producers - Long / Short
134,273 (-4,687)
300,950 (+8,109)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
78,591 (-1,532)
6,148 (+2,258)
Managed Money - Long / Short
77,066 (+4,517)
38,426 (-7,315)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
45,479 (+1,056)
5,156 (-947)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
301.6 +8.42%
on 09/18/18
327.3 -0.09%
on 10/15/18
+18.3 (+5.93%)
since 09/14/18
3-Month
301.6 +8.42%
on 09/18/18
343.2 -4.72%
on 07/31/18
+4.0 (+1.24%)
since 07/13/18
52-Week
301.6 +8.42%
on 09/18/18
392.5 -16.69%
on 05/01/18
-3.8 (-1.15%)
since 10/13/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 335.7
1st Resistance Point 331.3
Last Price 327.0s
1st Support Level 318.6
2nd Support Level 310.3

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52-Week High 392.5
Fibonacci 61.8% 357.8
Fibonacci 50% 347.0
Fibonacci 38.2% 336.3
Last Price 327.0s
52-Week Low 301.6

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