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Soybean Meal Dec '18 (ZMZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Meal Market Commentary

Wed Oct 17, 5:02PM CDT
Soybean futures gave back their morning gains but settled 1/2 to 1 cent higher. Front month soy meal was up $1.40/ton to support product value, with soy oil down 10 points. Palm oil futures hit a 4-week high on ideas of increased use for biodiesel but also expanded biodiesel exports. Analysts are estimating tomorrow’s USDA report to show 0.6-1 MMT in 18/19 soybean export sales during the week of 10/11. Soy meal sales are seen at 150,000-450,000 MT, with soy oil at 5,000-25,000 MT in the first full week of the new MY. An auction of Chinese state reserves saw 97,292 MT of 2013 soybeans sold on Wednesday, totaling 96.05% of the amount offered.Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.85 3/4, up 1 cent,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.99 3/4, up 1/2 cent,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.12 1/4, up 3/4 cent,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.25, up 3/4 cent,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $323.70, up $1.40,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $29.56, down $0.10 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Meal
Contract Size
100 tons (2,000 pounds per ton)
Tick Size
10 cents per ton ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$1,595/1,450
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (44 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (58 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily chart Soybean Meal Dec '18
Average price for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
241,563 (-9,632)
335,797 (+6,954)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
122,545 (+5,573)
43,582 (-8,262)
Producers - Long / Short
134,273 (-4,687)
300,950 (+8,109)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
78,591 (-1,532)
6,148 (+2,258)
Managed Money - Long / Short
77,066 (+4,517)
38,426 (-7,315)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
45,479 (+1,056)
5,156 (-947)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
303.8 +5.96%
on 09/19/18
327.3 -1.65%
on 10/15/18
+18.6 (+6.13%)
since 09/18/18
3-Month
301.6 +6.73%
on 09/18/18
343.2 -6.21%
on 07/31/18
-3.7 (-1.14%)
since 07/18/18
52-Week
301.6 +6.73%
on 09/18/18
392.5 -17.99%
on 05/01/18
-5.2 (-1.59%)
since 10/18/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 328.6
1st Resistance Point 326.1
Last Price 321.9
1st Support Level 321.2
2nd Support Level 318.8

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52-Week High 392.5
Fibonacci 61.8% 357.8
Fibonacci 50% 347.0
Fibonacci 38.2% 336.3
Last Price 321.9
52-Week Low 301.6

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