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Soybean Meal Dec '18 (ZMZ18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Soybean Meal
Contract Size
100 tons (2,000 pounds per ton)
Margin/Maintenance
$1,815/1,650
Tick Size
10 cents per ton ($10.00 per contract)
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$100
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (108 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (122 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 7, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
211,851 (+930)
315,765 (-7,342)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
129,164 (-7,024)
38,973 (+360)
Producers - Long / Short
104,673 (+550)
283,147 (-7,298)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
76,228 (+310)
1,668 (-114)
Managed Money - Long / Short
75,259 (-4,299)
29,999 (+430)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
53,905 (-2,725)
8,974 (-70)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
321.1 +5.17%
on 08/13/18
343.2 -1.60%
on 07/31/18
+14.7 (+4.55%)
since 07/13/18
3-Month
321.1 +5.17%
on 08/13/18
382.7 -11.76%
on 05/29/18
-39.4 (-10.45%)
since 05/14/18
52-Week
303.8 +11.16%
on 08/23/17
392.5 -13.96%
on 05/01/18
+26.6 (+8.55%)
since 08/14/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Tue Aug 14, 7:25AM CDT
Soybean futures are currently 2 to 3 cents higher after closing 6 to 7 1/2 cents higher on Monday. Nearby soy meal was up $4.30/ton, with soy oil 25 points higher. The USDA indicated that 580,824 MT of soybeans were inspected for export during the week ending 8/9. That was a 35% drop from the week prior and down 1.7% from this week last year. YTD exports are now 3.19% lower than the same time in 2017. NASS reported that 84% of the US soybean crop was setting pods as of Sunday vs. the average of 72%. The crop was rated at 66% good/ex, with the Brugler500 Index dropping 1 point from last week to 369. Wednesday’s NOPA report is expected to show 161.745 mbu of soybeans were crushed during July, which would be well above last July. Friday afternoon’s FSA data showed that 271,082 acres of soybeans were enrolled in prevent plant, 38% fewer than August 2017.

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 335.0
1st Resistance Point 331.9
Last Price 337.2
1st Support Level 323.4
2nd Support Level 318.0

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52-Week High 392.5
Fibonacci 61.8% 358.6
Fibonacci 50% 348.1
Fibonacci 38.2% 337.7
Last Price 337.2
52-Week Low 303.8

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