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Soybean Oil Dec '18 (ZLZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary


Soybean futures saw losses of 5 or more cents on Tuesday, excluding soon to expire Nov. Front month soy meal was down $1.70/ton, with soy oil 16 points in the red. A private export sale of 276,732 MT (~10 million bushels) of 18/19 soybeans to unknown destinations was reported by the USDA this morning to no apparent market effect. The weekly Export Inspections report showed shipments for the week of 11/8 totaled 1.302 MMT. That was down 40.5% from the same week last year but 4.6% larger than last week. Of that total, 249,278 MT was shipped to Argentina. The Tuesday afternoon Crop Progress report indicated that harvest progress was 88% complete as of 11/11, vs. the 93% average pace. NOPA’s monthly crush report on Thursday is expected to show 170.026 mbu of soybeans crushed by its members in October, which would be 3.5% larger than last year. Soy oil stocks are seen at 1.521 billion pounds at the end of October according to a wire service survey. Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.67 1/4, down 4 1/2 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.78 1/4, down 5 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $8.91 3/4, down 5 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.18, down 5 1/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $303.90, down $1.70,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $27.55, down $0.16--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$550/500
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (17 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (31 days)

Seasonal Chart

Soybean Oil Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
261,497 (-4,336)
256,171 (-3,039)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
112,007 (-28)
122,871 (-1,233)
Producers - Long / Short
138,222 (+3,621)
228,167 (-6,053)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
103,264 (-9,792)
7,993 (+1,179)
Managed Money - Long / Short
53,446 (-4,278)
112,562 (+125)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
58,561 (+4,250)
10,309 (-1,358)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
27.45 +0.36%
on 11/13/18
29.88 -7.80%
on 10/16/18
-1.84 (-6.26%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
27.13 +1.55%
on 09/19/18
30.01 -8.20%
on 10/04/18
-1.12 (-3.91%)
since 08/13/18
52-Week
27.13 +1.55%
on 09/19/18
35.07 -21.44%
on 11/15/17
-7.23 (-20.79%)
since 11/13/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 27.96
1st Resistance Point 27.76
Last Price 27.55s
1st Support Level 27.40
2nd Support Level 27.24

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52-Week High 35.07
Fibonacci 61.8% 32.04
Fibonacci 50% 31.10
Fibonacci 38.2% 30.16
Last Price 27.55s
52-Week Low 27.13

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