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Soybean Oil Dec '18 (ZLZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary


Soybean futures are trading 3 to 4 cents higher in the nearby contracts on Friday. Soy meal is leading the way as Dec is up $5.20/ton, with soy oil down 27 points. There was a private export sale of 100,000 MT of 18/19 soybeans to unknown reported through the USDA’s daily reporting system this morning. The delayed weekly Export Sales report indicated that 470,362 MT of soybeans were sold during the week of 11/8, on the low side of estimates. That was 46.8% larger than last year but well below last year. There were 488,800 MT in net reductions reported for unknown, with China cancelling 195,000 MT. Soy meal sales exceeded the rage of estimates at 432,352 MT, with soy oil sales of 14,999 MT reported. AgRural estimates that the Brazil soybean crop is 82% planted, well above the 5-year average of 67%.Jan 19 Soybeans are at $8.92 1/2, up 3 3/4 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans are at $9.05 3/4, up 3 1/2 cents,May 19 Soybeans are at $9.18 3/4, up 3 1/4 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans are at $9.31 1/4, up 3 1/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal is at $310.60, up $5.20Dec 18 Soybean Oil is at $27.42, down $0.27--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$550/500
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (14 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (28 days)

Seasonal Chart

Soybean Oil Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 6, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
261,497 (-4,336)
256,171 (-3,039)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
112,007 (-28)
122,871 (-1,233)
Producers - Long / Short
138,222 (+3,621)
228,167 (-6,053)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
103,264 (-9,792)
7,993 (+1,179)
Managed Money - Long / Short
53,446 (-4,278)
112,562 (+125)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
58,561 (+4,250)
10,309 (-1,358)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
27.29 +0.29%
on 11/16/18
29.81 -8.19%
on 10/17/18
-2.29 (-7.72%)
since 10/16/18
3-Month
27.13 +0.88%
on 09/19/18
30.01 -8.80%
on 10/04/18
-1.11 (-3.90%)
since 08/16/18
52-Week
27.13 +0.88%
on 09/19/18
34.93 -21.64%
on 11/17/17
-7.42 (-21.33%)
since 11/16/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 80% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 28.06
1st Resistance Point 27.72
Last Price 27.37s
1st Support Level 27.16
2nd Support Level 26.94

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52-Week High 34.93
Fibonacci 61.8% 31.95
Fibonacci 50% 31.03
Fibonacci 38.2% 30.11
Last Price 27.37s
52-Week Low 27.13

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