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Soybean Oil Dec '18 (ZLZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary

Tue Sep 18, 5:12PM CDT
Soybean futures failed to show a turnaround on Tuesday, posting losses of 9 to 10 cents in the front months. Soybean meal was down $2.40/ton, while soy oil was 31 points lower. China responded to President Trump implementing 10% tariffs on $200 billion, by placing 5-10% tariffs on $60 billion of US goods. Both are expected to go into effect on September 24. Analysts with Informa expect to see 82.27 million acres of soybeans planted in 2019, which would be ~7.33 million acres below 2018. Monday’s crop progress report showed ratings in IN, IL, MN, & ND were lower, while NE and SD were higher. NC condition ratings were down 15 points last week on the Brugler500 Index as expected.NOV 18 Soybeans closed at $8.14, down 9 1/2 cents,JAN 19 Soybeans closed at $8.28, down 9 1/4 cents,MAR 19 Soybeans closed at $8.41 1/2, down 9 cents,MAY 19 Soybeans closed at $8.54 3/4, down 9 cents,OCT 18 Soybean Meal closed at $300.50, down $2.40,OCT 18 Soybean Oil closed at $27.12, down $0.31

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$660/600
First Notice Date
11/29/18 (72 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (87 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybean Oil Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 11, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
274,770 (+26,122)
219,026 (+13,416)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
110,332 (-1,568)
170,510 (+9,866)
Producers - Long / Short
160,280 (+20,288)
199,510 (+11,305)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
103,269 (+5,829)
8,295 (+2,106)
Managed Money - Long / Short
53,906 (-4,100)
151,171 (+5,543)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
56,426 (+2,532)
19,339 (+4,323)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
27.30 +0.07%
on 09/19/18
29.11 -6.15%
on 08/21/18
-1.24 (-4.34%)
since 08/17/18
3-Month
27.30 +0.07%
on 09/19/18
30.15 -9.39%
on 06/22/18
-2.26 (-7.64%)
since 06/19/18
52-Week
27.30 +0.07%
on 09/19/18
35.79 -23.67%
on 11/09/17
-7.69 (-21.97%)
since 09/19/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 27.86
1st Resistance Point 27.61
Last Price 27.29
1st Support Level 27.23
2nd Support Level 27.10

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52-Week High 35.79
Fibonacci 61.8% 32.55
Fibonacci 50% 31.55
Fibonacci 38.2% 30.54
Last Price 27.29
52-Week Low 27.30

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