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Soybean Oil Dec '18 (ZLZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary

Mon Oct 15, 7:24AM CDT
Soybean futures are currently UNCH to 1 cent lower. They settled mostly 9 cents higher on Friday and were down 1 1/2 cents for the week. Nearby soy meal was down $3.20/ton last week. US Soybean export sales in the week of 10/4 fell short of expectations at 439,651 MT. That was 75% from the same week last year. Net reductions of 187,899 MT were reported for China. Soy meal sales for 18/19 were 348,232 MT for that, with another of 664,996 MT of old business carried over from 2017/18. Soy Oil Sales totaled 11,439 MT for the first week of the new MY, with 65,029 MT carried over. The NOPA monthly crush report is scheduled for today, with Reuters showing an average trade estimate of 157.4 million bushels. NOPA member soy oil stocks are expected to be around 1.579 billion pounds. Trade ideas for tonight’s USDA report put soybean harvest at 39-39% completed. The average for this date is 53%, but little was done in the western Corn Belt last week due to rain and snow.--Call Brugler Marketing & Management @ (402) 289-2330 with questions or news tips.

Contract Specifications

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Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (46 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (60 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybean Oil Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
254,435 (-6,637)
258,182 (+2,565)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
110,424 (-4,668)
115,468 (-11,873)
Producers - Long / Short
124,367 (-5,068)
233,161 (+4,468)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
112,215 (+1,933)
7,168 (+1,599)
Managed Money - Long / Short
59,756 (-2,442)
100,134 (-12,473)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
50,668 (-2,226)
15,334 (+600)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
27.13 +8.51%
on 09/19/18
30.01 -1.90%
on 10/04/18
+1.68 (+6.05%)
since 09/14/18
27.13 +8.51%
on 09/19/18
30.01 -1.90%
on 10/04/18
+1.05 (+3.70%)
since 07/13/18
27.13 +8.51%
on 09/19/18
35.79 -17.74%
on 11/09/17
-4.79 (-13.99%)
since 10/13/17

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 29.71
1st Resistance Point 29.55
Last Price 29.49
1st Support Level 29.11
2nd Support Level 28.83

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52-Week High 35.79
Fibonacci 61.8% 32.48
Fibonacci 50% 31.46
Fibonacci 38.2% 30.44
Last Price 29.49
52-Week Low 27.13

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