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Soybean Oil Dec '18 (ZLZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybean Oil Market Commentary

Tue Sep 25, 5:12PM CDT
Soybean futures closed the Turnaround Tuesday session with most contracts 4 to 5 cents in the green. Nearby soy meal was up $1.50/ton, while soy oil saw 11-point gains. A 24-hour union strike in Argentina closed ports in Rosario on Tuesday. Both Brazil and Argentina are planning to import US beans for crushers to replace what was shipped to China. Friday’s Grain Stocks report, released at 11 a.m. CDT, is expected to show 398 mbu of soybean stocks on September 1. That is a buildup of 96 mbu from last year and 3 higher than the Sept S&D table. As of Sunday, all of the 18 reported states were matching or ahead of their normal harvest pace except Arkansas. Soybean condition ratings in NE were down 3 points, with NC seeing the largest loss following Hurricane Florence, down 34. MN saw a 9-point improvement, with IA up 2 and IL 3 points higher.Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.45 3/4, up 4 3/4 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.59 3/4, up 4 1/2 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $8.72 3/4, up 4 1/4 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $8.97, up 4 1/4 cents,Oct 18 Soybean Meal closed at $306.20, up $1.50,Oct 18 Soybean Oil closed at $28.37, up $0.11

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
Margin/Maintenance
$660/600
First Notice Date
11/29/18 (64 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (79 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybean Oil Dec '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Dec contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
293,949 (+19,179)
228,603 (+9,577)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
111,430 (+1,098)
181,248 (+10,738)
Producers - Long / Short
172,419 (+12,139)
202,791 (+3,281)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
103,637 (+368)
7,919 (-376)
Managed Money - Long / Short
49,242 (-4,664)
160,088 (+8,917)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
62,188 (+5,762)
21,160 (+1,821)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
27.13 +6.41%
on 09/19/18
29.00 -0.45%
on 09/04/18
+0.38 (+1.33%)
since 08/24/18
3-Month
27.13 +6.41%
on 09/19/18
29.98 -3.70%
on 06/29/18
-0.72 (-2.43%)
since 06/26/18
52-Week
27.13 +6.41%
on 09/19/18
35.79 -19.34%
on 11/09/17
-5.32 (-15.56%)
since 09/26/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 28.93
1st Resistance Point 28.79
Last Price 28.86
1st Support Level 28.44
2nd Support Level 28.23

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52-Week High 35.79
Fibonacci 61.8% 32.48
Fibonacci 50% 31.46
Fibonacci 38.2% 30.44
Last Price 28.86
52-Week Low 27.13

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